Kick-off 2026-09-16 16:45 UTC
Ararat-Armenia
v
Sparta Praha
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 16:45 UTC
Sparta Praha to win
· 55% model probability
· odds 1.65 · edge -5.6 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Sparta Praha to win, which it rates at 55%. Recent form reads WWDWW for Ararat-Armenia and WLWLL for Sparta Praha, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Sparta Praha: K. Hoever (missing fixture), Elias Cobbaut (missing fixture), Magnus Kofod Andersen (missing fixture) +5 more
Model
BTTS 56%
O2.5 56%
Odds
Home 5.25
Draw 4.00
Away 1.65
BTTS 1.70
O2.5 1.67
More Sparta Praha to win tips
Omonia Nicosia
v
Celta Vigo
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 16:45 UTC
Celta Vigo to win
· 46% model probability
· odds 1.95 · edge -5.3 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Celta Vigo to win, which it rates at 46%. Recent form reads DLDWW for Omonia Nicosia and DDDDW for Celta Vigo, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Omonia Nicosia: C. Eiting (missing fixture), Fotios Kitsos (missing fixture), A. Neophytou (missing fixture) · Celta Vigo: Aleix Febas (questionable), Borja Iglesias (questionable), Iago Aspas (missing fixture) +2 more
Model
BTTS 49%
O2.5 44%
Odds
Home 4.00
Draw 3.30
Away 1.95
BTTS 1.91
O2.5 2.10
More Celta Vigo to win tips
Kick-off 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC
Atletico Madrid
v
Osasuna
Spain · La Liga
Wed 16 Sep, 17:00 UTC
Atletico Madrid to win
· 69% model probability
· odds 1.38 · edge -3.5 pts ▼ Steaming 10.8%
The standout number in the model's output is 69% for Atletico Madrid to win. Atletico Madrid arrive on a DWWLD run while Osasuna have gone WLLLD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Missing — Atletico Madrid: J. Álvarez (questionable), A. Sørloth (questionable), Pablo Barrios (missing fixture) +1 more · Osasuna: V. Rosier (questionable), Moi Gómez (missing fixture), Aimar Oroz (missing fixture) +1 more
Model
BTTS 47%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 1.38
Draw 4.75
Away 8.50
BTTS 2.00
O2.5 1.73
More Atletico Madrid to win tips
· La Liga predictions
Deportivo La Coruna
v
Sevilla
Spain · La Liga
Wed 16 Sep, 17:00 UTC
Deportivo La Coruna to win
· 40% model probability
· odds 2.40 · edge -1.7 pts ▼ Steaming 4.0%
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Deportivo La Coruna to win, which it rates at 40%. Recent form reads WDLWL for Deportivo La Coruna and DWLWW for Sevilla, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Deportivo La Coruna: Noé (questionable) · Sevilla: R. Vargas (missing fixture), A. Sangante (questionable)
Model
BTTS 49%
O2.5 42%
Odds
Home 2.40
Draw 3.25
Away 3.00
BTTS 1.95
O2.5 2.30
More Deportivo La Coruna to win tips
· La Liga predictions
Kick-off 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC
Wolves
v
Portsmouth
England · Championship
Wed 16 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Wolves to win
· 38% model probability
The standout number in the model's output is 38% for Wolves to win. Recent form reads DDDLW for Wolves and WWLWD for Portsmouth, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
More Wolves to win tips
· Championship predictions
Altrincham
v
Hartlepool
England · National League
Wed 16 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Altrincham to win
· 43% model probability
· odds 2.20 · edge -2.5 pts ▼ Steaming 12.0%
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Altrincham to win, which it rates at 43%. Recent form reads WWLWL for Altrincham and LLLWW for Hartlepool, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 53%
Odds
Home 2.20
Draw 3.40
Away 2.88
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.80
More Altrincham to win tips
· National League predictions
Kidderminster Harriers
v
Gateshead
England · National League
Wed 16 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Kidderminster Harriers to win
· 62% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -1.7 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 62% for Kidderminster Harriers to win. Form lines of WDDWD and LLLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 52%
O2.5 54%
Odds
Home 1.57
Draw 3.90
Away 5.00
BTTS 1.80
O2.5 1.75
More Kidderminster Harriers to win tips
· National League predictions
Scunthorpe
v
Boreham Wood
England · National League
Wed 16 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Boreham Wood to win
· 54% model probability
· odds 1.70 · edge -4.8 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Boreham Wood to win, which it rates at 54%. Recent form reads WLWWD for Scunthorpe and DWWWW for Boreham Wood, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 65%
O2.5 65%
Odds
Home 3.90
Draw 4.00
Away 1.70
BTTS 1.50
O2.5 1.48
More Boreham Wood to win tips
· National League predictions
Kick-off 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC
AC Milan
v
Benfica
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 59% model probability
· odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts
This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 59%, its highest figure for the match. AC Milan arrive on a WLLDL run while Benfica have gone WWDWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Missing — Benfica: Bruma (missing fixture), A. Bah (missing fixture)
Model
BTTS 59%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 2.05
Draw 3.50
Away 3.50
BTTS 1.62
O2.5 1.73
More Both teams to score tips
Anderlecht
v
Lyon
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Anderlecht arrive on a WWDLL run while Lyon have gone WLWDD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Missing — Anderlecht: K. Sardella (missing fixture), L. Hey (missing fixture), L. Ambros (questionable) +1 more · Lyon: J. Duranville (questionable), M. Ouédraogo (questionable), R. Himbert (questionable) +1 more
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 57%
Odds
Home 3.00
Draw 3.70
Away 2.25
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.67
More Both teams to score tips
Bayer Leverkusen
v
Celje
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Bayer Leverkusen to win
· 82% model probability
· odds 1.14 · edge -5.7 pts
The model makes Bayer Leverkusen to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 82% likelihood. Recent form reads WWWWD for Bayer Leverkusen and LWLDL for Celje, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Bayer Leverkusen: J. Hofmann (missing fixture), V. Boniface (missing fixture), N. Tella (missing fixture) +4 more · Celje: A. Kotnik (missing fixture), ? (missing fixture)
Model
BTTS 53%
O2.5 76%
Odds
Home 1.14
Draw 7.50
Away 15.00
BTTS 1.80
O2.5 1.28
More Bayer Leverkusen to win tips
Hapoel Beer Sheva
v
Dinamo Zagreb
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 62% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -1.7 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 62% likelihood. Form lines of LDWWW and LWDLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in UEFA Europa League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Missing — Hapoel Beer Sheva: D. Biton (missing fixture), E. Peretz (missing fixture), R. Levy (missing fixture) +2 more · Dinamo Zagreb: R. Mudražija (missing fixture), B. Goda (missing fixture), I. Nevistić (missing fixture) +5 more
Model
BTTS 62%
O2.5 61%
Odds
Home 3.60
Draw 3.75
Away 1.95
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.67
More Both teams to score tips
Olympiakos Piraeus
v
Jagiellonia
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Olympiakos Piraeus to win
· 69% model probability
· odds 1.38 · edge -3.5 pts
This one comes down to Olympiakos Piraeus to win. The model puts it at 69%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWDLD for Olympiakos Piraeus and WWDWW for Jagiellonia, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Olympiakos Piraeus: K. Fortounis (missing fixture), A. El Kaabi (missing fixture), Rémy Cabella (missing fixture) +6 more · Jagiellonia: D. Drachal (missing fixture), O. Sow (questionable), Dimitris Rallis (missing fixture) +1 more
Model
BTTS 49%
O2.5 58%
Odds
Home 1.38
Draw 4.50
Away 8.50
BTTS 1.95
O2.5 1.67
More Olympiakos Piraeus to win tips
Sturm Graz
v
Rennes
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Recent form reads DWWDD for Sturm Graz and LLWWW for Rennes, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Sturm Graz: S. Włodarczyk (missing fixture), N. Geyrhofer (missing fixture), O. Diakité (missing fixture) +3 more · Rennes: A. Nordin (questionable), D. Cissé (questionable), Gonçalo Oliveira (questionable)
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 59%
Odds
Home 3.75
Draw 3.80
Away 1.90
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.62
More Both teams to score tips
Sunderland
v
AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa League
Wed 16 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Sunderland to win
· 57% model probability
· odds 1.62 · edge -4.7 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Sunderland to win, which it rates at 57%. Form lines of WWDLW and WWDLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in UEFA Europa League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Missing — Sunderland: A. Browne (missing fixture), M. Ellborg (missing fixture), R. Mundle (missing fixture) +4 more · AZ Alkmaar: H. Verhulst (missing fixture), D. Kasius (missing fixture), S. Resink (missing fixture) +1 more
Model
BTTS 54%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 1.62
Draw 4.33
Away 5.00
BTTS 1.75
O2.5 1.73
More Sunderland to win tips
Kick-off 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC
Barcelona
v
Racing Santander
Spain · La Liga
Wed 16 Sep, 19:30 UTC
Barcelona to win
· 92% model probability
· odds 1.06 · edge -2.3 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Barcelona to win, which it rates at 92%. Form lines of WWWWW and LLLLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in La Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Missing — Barcelona: F. de Jong (missing fixture), Gerard Martín (questionable), R. Bardghji (missing fixture) · Racing Santander: André Almeida (missing fixture), Andrés Martín (missing fixture), S. Eriksson (questionable)
Model
BTTS 50%
O2.5 87%
Odds
Home 1.06
Draw 14.00
Away 23.00
BTTS 1.75
O2.5 1.12
More Barcelona to win tips
· La Liga predictions
Levante
v
Athletic Club
Spain · La Liga
Wed 16 Sep, 19:30 UTC
Athletic Club to win
· 44% model probability
· odds 2.10 · edge -3.6 pts ▼ Steaming 6.7%
The model makes Athletic Club to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 44% likelihood. Form lines of WWWWW and WLLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in La Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Missing — Levante: Primo (missing fixture), Etta Eyong (missing fixture) · Athletic Club: Dani Vivian (missing fixture), Gorka Guruzeta (questionable), I. Williams (questionable) +2 more
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 53%
Odds
Home 3.40
Draw 3.50
Away 2.10
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.80
More Athletic Club to win tips
· La Liga predictions
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