Tomorrow's AI Football Predictions

Newcastle v Bournemouth

England · Premier League Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 64%. Newcastle arrive on a DWWLL run while Bournemouth have gone LDWWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Newcastle: Joelinton (missing fixture), D. Burn (missing fixture), T. Livramento (questionable) +2 more · Bournemouth: J. Araujo (missing fixture), A. Adli (missing fixture), E. Kroupi (missing fixture) +1 more

More Both teams to score tips · Premier League predictions

Lincoln v Southampton

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -0.9 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 59% for both teams to score. Form lines of LWWWW and LDWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Lincoln: T. Darikwa (missing fixture), S. Bradley (questionable) · Southampton: C. Jander (missing fixture)

More Both teams to score tips · Championship predictions

Preston v Blackburn

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Preston to win · 40% model probability · odds 2.35 · edge -2.6 pts

This one comes down to Preston to win. The model puts it at 40%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LLLDW for Preston and DWLDW for Blackburn, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Preston: B. Potts (missing fixture), A. McCann (questionable), Theo Carrol (questionable) · Blackburn: L. Miller (missing fixture), S. Wharton (questionable), H. Pickering (questionable) +6 more

More Preston to win tips · Championship predictions

Stoke City v Charlton

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Stoke City to win · 45% model probability · odds 2.10 · edge -2.6 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Stoke City to win, which it rates at 45%. Form lines of LLLDW and DWLDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Stoke City: A. Cresswell (missing fixture), B. Gibson (questionable), S. Ingelsson (questionable) +3 more · Charlton: W. Mannion (missing fixture), N. Chalobah (questionable), K. Ramsay (missing fixture) +5 more

More Stoke City to win tips · Championship predictions

Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Fleetwood Town to win · 50% model probability · odds 1.90 · edge -2.6 pts

This one comes down to Fleetwood Town to win. The model puts it at 50%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DLWDD and LDLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Fleetwood Town to win tips · League Two predictions

Salford City v Port Vale

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Salford City to win · 51% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -3.1 pts

This one comes down to Salford City to win. The model puts it at 51%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of WLDDW and LLLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Salford City to win tips · League Two predictions

Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -5.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 64%. Recent form reads WLDWL for Peterborough and LLDLL for Sheffield Wednesday, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Both teams to score tips · League One predictions

Wigan v Stockport County

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -4.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 59%. Form lines of LLWWW and LLWWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Both teams to score tips · League One predictions

Aldershot Town v FC Halifax Town

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -1.7 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 60%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WDLLW for Aldershot Town and LLWWW for FC Halifax Town, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Both teams to score tips · National League predictions

Southend v Yeovil Town

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Southend to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts

The model makes Southend to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Recent form reads LWWDL for Southend and WDDLD for Yeovil Town, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Southend to win tips · National League predictions

Fiorentina v Torino

Italy · Serie A Sat 5 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Fiorentina to win · 50% model probability · odds 1.91 · edge -2.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Fiorentina to win, which it rates at 50%. Form lines of DDDWW and LLDWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Fiorentina: Riccardo Sottil (missing fixture), F. Parisi (missing fixture) · Torino: Pietro Pellegri (missing fixture), F. Israel (missing fixture), C. Casadei (questionable) +1 more

More Fiorentina to win tips · Serie A predictions

1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 5 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 68% for both teams to score. 1899 Hoffenheim arrive on a WDWLD run while Borussia Dortmund have gone WLLWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — 1899 Hoffenheim: A. Prass (questionable), F. Asllani (questionable) · Borussia Dortmund: E. Can (missing fixture), R. Bensebaïni (questionable), N. Schlotterbeck (missing fixture) +5 more

More Both teams to score tips · Bundesliga predictions

Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 5 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Bayer Leverkusen to win · 68% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -1.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Bayer Leverkusen to win, which it rates at 68%. Recent form reads DWLWD for Bayer Leverkusen and WLLLW for Union Berlin, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Bayer Leverkusen: M. Terrier (questionable), E. Ben Seghir (questionable), M. Culbreath (questionable) +1 more · Union Berlin: S. Nsoki (missing fixture), O. Burke (questionable), F. Rønnow (questionable) +3 more

More Bayer Leverkusen to win tips · Bundesliga predictions

Borussia Mönchengladbach v SV Elversberg

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 5 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 62% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -3.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 62%. Recent form reads WWDDW for Borussia Mönchengladbach and LDDLD for SV Elversberg, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Borussia Mönchengladbach: T. Kleindienst (questionable), D. Hashioka (missing fixture), Tomáš Čvančara (missing fixture) +5 more · SV Elversberg: T. Zimmerschied (questionable), Luis Seifert (missing fixture)

More Both teams to score tips · Bundesliga predictions

Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 5 Sep, 13:30 UTC

RB Leipzig to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -2.8 pts ▼ Steaming 13.5%

This one comes down to RB Leipzig to win. The model puts it at 55%, its highest figure for the match. Werder Bremen arrive on a LLWLL run while RB Leipzig have gone LLWWL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Werder Bremen: Mitchell Weiser (missing fixture), N. Stark (questionable), J. Stage (missing fixture) +5 more · RB Leipzig: C. Baumgartner (missing fixture), Ø. Nyland (questionable), R. Reitz (missing fixture) +4 more

More RB Leipzig to win tips · Bundesliga predictions

SC Paderborn 07 v SC Freiburg

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 5 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 60%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DLWWD and LLLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Bundesliga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — SC Paderborn 07: S. Michel (missing fixture), F. Götze (missing fixture), T. Gayret (missing fixture) +2 more · SC Freiburg: F. Muslija (missing fixture), R. Yamamoto (questionable), P. Osterhage (questionable)

More Both teams to score tips · Bundesliga predictions

Aberdeen v Kilmarnock

Scotland · Premiership Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Aberdeen to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -3.8 pts

The model makes Aberdeen to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 54% likelihood. Form lines of LWLWW and LWWLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premiership. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Aberdeen to win tips

Dundee Utd v Falkirk

Scotland · Premiership Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Dundee Utd to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.90 · edge -3.6 pts

This one comes down to Dundee Utd to win. The model puts it at 49%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LDDWW for Dundee Utd and DLLWD for Falkirk, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Dundee Utd to win tips

Rangers v Motherwell

Scotland · Premiership Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Rangers to win · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Rangers to win, which it rates at 66%. Recent form reads LLLWW for Rangers and DWWLW for Motherwell, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Rangers to win tips

Brentford v Sunderland

England · Premier League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Brentford to win · 60% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -1.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Brentford to win, which it rates at 60%. Recent form reads WDWDD for Brentford and LWDLW for Sunderland, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Brentford: J. Dasilva (questionable), S. van den Berg (missing fixture), M. Jensen (questionable) +1 more · Sunderland: S. Adingra (missing fixture), Habib Diarra (questionable)

More Brentford to win tips · Premier League predictions

Brighton v Leeds

England · Premier League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Brighton to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -2.3 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 49% for Brighton to win. Recent form reads WLWWW for Brighton and WLDDW for Leeds, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Brighton: G. Rutter (questionable), Mats Wieffer (questionable), K. Mitoma (missing fixture) +5 more · Leeds: Joe Rodon (missing fixture), I. Gruev (missing fixture), Mateo Joseph (missing fixture)

More Brighton to win tips · Premier League predictions

Fulham v Crystal Palace

England · Premier League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Fulham to win · 41% model probability · odds 2.30 · edge -2.5 pts

This one comes down to Fulham to win. The model puts it at 41%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LWLWW for Fulham and LDLLW for Crystal Palace, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Fulham: T. Cairney (missing fixture), L. De Fougerolles (questionable), H. Larsson (questionable) · Crystal Palace: I. Sarr (questionable), B. Chilwell (questionable), J. Mateta (missing fixture) +2 more

More Fulham to win tips · Premier League predictions

Manchester City v Coventry

England · Premier League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Manchester City to win · 81% model probability · odds 1.18 · edge -3.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 81% for Manchester City to win. Manchester City arrive on a WLWWW run while Coventry have gone LWDDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Manchester City: J. Doku (questionable), E. Fernández (questionable), Matheus Nunes (questionable) +1 more · Coventry: H. Wright (missing fixture), F. Onyeka (questionable), L. Woolfenden (missing fixture) +2 more

More Manchester City to win tips · Premier League predictions

Nottingham Forest v Tottenham

England · Premier League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Nottingham Forest to win · 41% model probability · odds 2.40 · edge -0.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 41% for Nottingham Forest to win. Form lines of LDDWW and LLWWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premier League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Nottingham Forest: I. Sangaré (questionable), Nicolò Savona (missing fixture) · Tottenham: J. Maddison (questionable), Dejan Kulusevski (missing fixture), X. Simons (missing fixture) +2 more

More Nottingham Forest to win tips · Premier League predictions

Burnley v Bristol City

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Burnley to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -5.1 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Burnley to win, which it rates at 49%. Recent form reads DDDDL for Burnley and DLDDW for Bristol City, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Burnley: A. Barnes (missing fixture), Josh Cullen (missing fixture), Jordan Beyer (missing fixture) +5 more · Bristol City: Brian De Keersmaecker (questionable), Luke McNally (missing fixture), G. Tanner (questionable)

More Burnley to win tips · Championship predictions

Millwall v Bolton

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Millwall to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.90 · edge -3.6 pts

This one comes down to Millwall to win. The model puts it at 49%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of LWLWW and DWLLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Millwall: Massimo Luongo (missing fixture), R. Leonard (missing fixture), A. Doughty (missing fixture) +6 more · Bolton: Luca Stephenson (missing fixture)

More Millwall to win tips · Championship predictions

Portsmouth v Cardiff

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 60% likelihood. Form lines of LDWWD and LDLWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Portsmouth: K. Anderson (missing fixture), J. Murphy (missing fixture), C. Ogilvie (missing fixture) +4 more · Cardiff: C. Chambers (missing fixture), K. Bielik (questionable), W. Fish (missing fixture) +1 more

More Both teams to score tips · Championship predictions

QPR v Middlesbrough

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 58% likelihood. Form lines of WDLLD and DLLLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — QPR: B. Kemper (questionable), Karamoko Dembélé (missing fixture), Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu (missing fixture) · Middlesbrough: A. Bangura (missing fixture), J. Sarmiento (questionable), R. Pukštas (missing fixture)

More Both teams to score tips · Championship predictions

Sheffield Utd v Norwich

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 58% for both teams to score. Sheffield Utd arrive on a DLLWD run while Norwich have gone LLWWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Sheffield Utd: T. Chong (missing fixture), F. Seriki (missing fixture), H. Burrows (missing fixture) +1 more · Norwich: Mirko Topić (missing fixture), P. Maghoma (questionable), J. Makama (missing fixture) +2 more

More Both teams to score tips · Championship predictions

West Brom v Watford

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

West Brom to win · 51% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -3.1 pts

This one comes down to West Brom to win. The model puts it at 51%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DWDWD and DLLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — West Brom: M. Johnston (missing fixture) · Watford: M. Bola (missing fixture), K. Baah (missing fixture), J. Ngakia (missing fixture) +2 more

More West Brom to win tips · Championship predictions

West Ham v Derby

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

West Ham to win · 68% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -5.5 pts

The model makes West Ham to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 68% likelihood. West Ham arrive on a LWLWW run while Derby have gone LWLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — West Ham: T. Souček (missing fixture) · Derby: C. Morris (missing fixture), L. Travis (missing fixture), M. Clarke (questionable) +2 more

More West Ham to win tips · Championship predictions

Accrington ST v Crawley Town

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 58%. Form lines of DLLLD and DLLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Both teams to score tips · League Two predictions

Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Bristol Rovers to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -3.8 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 55% for Bristol Rovers to win. Recent form reads WWWWW for Bristol Rovers and LWLLL for Rotherham, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Bristol Rovers to win tips · League Two predictions

Cheltenham v Grimsby

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Grimsby to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -2.3 pts ▼ Steaming 11.4%

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Grimsby to win, which it rates at 49%. Recent form reads LWWDD for Cheltenham and DDWLW for Grimsby, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Grimsby to win tips · League Two predictions

Chesterfield v Barnet

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 58% likelihood. Form lines of LWWDL and WWWWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Both teams to score tips · League Two predictions

Crewe v York

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

York to win · 40% model probability · odds 2.38 · edge -2 pts ▼ Steaming 14.8%

This one comes down to York to win. The model puts it at 40%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads DWWLD for Crewe and LDLDW for York, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More York to win tips · League Two predictions

Exeter City v Walsall

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 59% likelihood. Exeter City arrive on a LDWDL run while Walsall have gone LWLDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

More Both teams to score tips · League Two predictions

Northampton v Newport County

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Northampton to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -3.8 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Northampton to win, which it rates at 54%. Form lines of LLLDL and WLLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Northampton to win tips · League Two predictions

Rochdale v Gillingham

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Rochdale to win · 47% model probability · odds 2.10 · edge -0.6 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 47% for Rochdale to win. Form lines of WLLDD and DDWWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Rochdale to win tips · League Two predictions

Swindon Town v Colchester

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 59% likelihood. Recent form reads LDWDL for Swindon Town and WLWLL for Colchester, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Both teams to score tips · League Two predictions

Tranmere v Oldham

England · League Two Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Oldham to win · 41% model probability · odds 2.25 · edge -3.4 pts

This one comes down to Oldham to win. The model puts it at 41%, its highest figure for the match. Tranmere arrive on a DLLLL run while Oldham have gone LLLWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

More Oldham to win tips · League Two predictions

Barnsley v Stevenage

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Barnsley to win · 44% model probability · odds 2.10 · edge -3.6 pts ▼ Steaming 12.2%

This one comes down to Barnsley to win. The model puts it at 44%, its highest figure for the match. Barnsley arrive on a WLDLL run while Stevenage have gone LDLWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

More Barnsley to win tips · League One predictions

Bradford v Mansfield Town

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Bradford to win · 51% model probability · odds 1.83 · edge -3.6 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 51% for Bradford to win. Form lines of LLWWW and LLWDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Bradford to win tips · League One predictions

Burton Albion v Cambridge United

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Cambridge United to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.50 · edge -4 pts ▼ Steaming 10.7%

The standout number in the model's output is 36% for Cambridge United to win. Form lines of WDWLD and DDDDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Cambridge United to win tips · League One predictions

Doncaster v Plymouth

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 59%. Doncaster arrive on a DDWWL run while Plymouth have gone DWWWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

More Both teams to score tips · League One predictions

Huddersfield v Notts County

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Huddersfield to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts

This one comes down to Huddersfield to win. The model puts it at 57%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LDDDW for Huddersfield and DWWLW for Notts County, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

More Huddersfield to win tips · League One predictions

Leicester v Oxford United

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Leicester to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts

The model makes Leicester to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 56% likelihood. Form lines of LDDLD and WLLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Leicester to win tips · League One predictions

Luton v Leyton Orient

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Luton to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 57% for Luton to win. Form lines of WDWDL and WLLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Luton to win tips · League One predictions

Reading v Blackpool

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Reading to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -2.3 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 49% for Reading to win. Form lines of WLLWD and LWWWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Reading to win tips · League One predictions

Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons

England · League One Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 58% likelihood. Form lines of DWLLW and WDLWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

More Both teams to score tips · League One predictions

AFC Fylde v Worthing

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

AFC Fylde to win · 53% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -4.1 pts

The model makes AFC Fylde to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 53% likelihood. AFC Fylde arrive on a WDLLL run while Worthing have gone LWDDD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

More AFC Fylde to win tips · National League predictions

Barrow v Sutton Utd

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Barrow to win · 41% model probability · odds 2.15 · edge -5.5 pts

This one comes down to Barrow to win. The model puts it at 41%, its highest figure for the match. Barrow arrive on a LLWWW run while Sutton Utd have gone WWWDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

More Barrow to win tips · National League predictions

Gateshead v Solihull Moors

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 63% likelihood. Gateshead arrive on a LDWLD run while Solihull Moors have gone LLWWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

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Hartlepool v Woking

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Hartlepool to win · 42% model probability · odds 2.15 · edge -4.5 pts

This one comes down to Hartlepool to win. The model puts it at 42%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LLWWL for Hartlepool and LLWWD for Woking, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

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AFC Hornchurch v Forest Green

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -1.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 60% for both teams to score. Form lines of WLWWW and LWWWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

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Scunthorpe v Harrogate Town

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 60%. Recent form reads WWDDW for Scunthorpe and LWWWW for Harrogate Town, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

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Tamworth v Boston United

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -2.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 63% for both teams to score. Tamworth arrive on a WWLDL run while Boston United have gone LWLWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

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Wealdstone v Kidderminster Harriers

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -2.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 63%. Form lines of DLLWW and WLWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

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Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid

Spain · La Liga Sat 5 Sep, 14:15 UTC

Atletico Madrid to win · 39% model probability · odds 2.30 · edge -4.5 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Atletico Madrid to win, which it rates at 39%. Form lines of LDLWL and WLWLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in La Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Athletic Club: Dani Vivian (missing fixture), Beñat Prados (questionable), Nico Serrano (missing fixture) +2 more · Atletico Madrid: J. Álvarez (questionable), A. Sørloth (questionable), O. Vargas (missing fixture)

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NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 5 Sep, 14:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 71% model probability · odds 1.33 · edge -4.2 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 71% for both teams to score. NEC Nijmegen arrive on a LWDDD run while Feyenoord have gone WWWWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — NEC Nijmegen: P. Sandler (missing fixture), D. Nejašmić (questionable), A. Kaplan (missing fixture) +2 more · Feyenoord: B. Nieuwkoop (missing fixture), G. Smal (missing fixture), J. Moder (missing fixture) +2 more

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Estrela v Famalicao

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 5 Sep, 14:30 UTC

Famalicao to win · 38% model probability · odds 2.50 · edge -2 pts

This one comes down to Famalicao to win. The model puts it at 38%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads DDLLW for Estrela and LDDWD for Famalicao, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

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Lens v Lorient

France · Ligue 1 Sat 5 Sep, 15:15 UTC

Lens to win · 66% model probability · odds 1.45 · edge -3 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Lens to win, which it rates at 66%. Lens arrive on a WLWWW run while Lorient have gone DWDLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Lens: Jonathan Gradit (missing fixture), Saud Abdulhamid (missing fixture), M. Nawrocki (missing fixture) +2 more · Lorient: M. Bamba (questionable)

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Inter v Napoli

Italy · Serie A Sat 5 Sep, 16:00 UTC

Inter to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 57% for Inter to win. Recent form reads WDWWW for Inter and WWDDW for Napoli, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Inter: D. Spence (questionable), M. Spinaccè (missing fixture) · Napoli: B. Badiashile (questionable), Scott McTominay (missing fixture), A. Buongiorno (missing fixture) +1 more

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Hull City v Aston Villa

England · Premier League Sat 5 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Aston Villa to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -5.1 pts

The model makes Aston Villa to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 49% likelihood. Recent form reads WWDWD for Hull City and LWWDL for Aston Villa, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Hull City: J. Butland (missing fixture), J. Gelhardt (questionable), E. Matazo (missing fixture) +3 more · Aston Villa: L. Bailey (questionable), T. Harwood-Bellis (questionable), A. Onana (missing fixture) +4 more

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Rayo Vallecano v Racing Santander

Spain · La Liga Sat 5 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Rayo Vallecano to win · 43% model probability · odds 2.25 · edge -1.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Rayo Vallecano to win, which it rates at 43%. Rayo Vallecano arrive on a DWDWD run while Racing Santander have gone LLLDD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (missing fixture), A. Batalla (missing fixture), M. Kumbulla (questionable) +2 more · Racing Santander: Andrés Martín (missing fixture), Pedro Felipe (questionable)

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FC Schalke 04 v Bayern München

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 5 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Bayern München to win · 81% model probability · odds 1.17 · edge -4.5 pts

The model makes Bayern München to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 81% likelihood. Form lines of WWWWD and WLWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Bundesliga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — FC Schalke 04: Tomáš Kalas (missing fixture), B. Lasme (questionable), K. Karaman (questionable) +3 more · Bayern München: S. Gnabry (missing fixture), J. Musiala (questionable), Tarek Buchmann (missing fixture)

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Boreham Wood v Carlisle

England · National League Sat 5 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Boreham Wood to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.65 · edge -4.6 pts

This one comes down to Boreham Wood to win. The model puts it at 56%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWDWW for Boreham Wood and DDWWW for Carlisle, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

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Utrecht v GO Ahead Eagles

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 5 Sep, 16:45 UTC

Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -1.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 65%. Recent form reads LLWWW for Utrecht and DLDDL for GO Ahead Eagles, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Utrecht: Victor Jensen (missing fixture), N. Vesterlund (questionable), K. Paredes (missing fixture) +6 more · GO Ahead Eagles: Gerrit Nauber (missing fixture), Pim Saathof (missing fixture), Robbin Weijenberg (missing fixture)

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Alverca v SC Braga

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 5 Sep, 17:00 UTC

SC Braga to win · 51% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -6.1 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to SC Braga to win, which it rates at 51%. Alverca arrive on a DDWWL run while SC Braga have gone DDLLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

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Maritimo v Benfica

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 5 Sep, 17:00 UTC

Benfica to win · 75% model probability · odds 1.27 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes Benfica to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 75% likelihood. Form lines of DWDWL and WWDLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Primeira Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

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Ajax v PSV Eindhoven

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 5 Sep, 18:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 73% model probability · odds 1.30 · edge -3.9 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 73% for both teams to score. Form lines of DDWDL and WWDWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Eredivisie. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Ajax: D. Blind (missing fixture), S. Adingra (missing fixture), Rayane Bounida (missing fixture) +2 more · PSV Eindhoven: A. Pléa (missing fixture), S. Lammers (questionable), J. Schouten (missing fixture) +2 more

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AS Roma v Atalanta

Italy · Serie A Sat 5 Sep, 18:45 UTC

AS Roma to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -2.8 pts ▼ Steaming 19.5%

The standout number in the model's output is 55% for AS Roma to win. Recent form reads WWWDW for AS Roma and DWLDW for Atalanta, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — AS Roma: L. Pellegrini (missing fixture), E. Ndicka (questionable), D. Rensch (questionable) +1 more · Atalanta: I. Hien (missing fixture), K. Sulemana (missing fixture), J. Rowe (missing fixture) +1 more

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Le Havre v Stade Brestois 29

France · Ligue 1 Sat 5 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Le Havre to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.62 · edge -2.2 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 36% for Le Havre to win. Form lines of LLDDD and DLLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Le Havre: F. Mambimbi (missing fixture), Abdoulaye Touré (missing fixture), Paul Argney (missing fixture) +1 more · Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet (questionable), J. Bourgault (questionable)

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Nice v Le Mans

France · Ligue 1 Sat 5 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Nice to win · 50% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -4.1 pts

This one comes down to Nice to win. The model puts it at 50%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DWWDD and LDWWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Nice: M. Sanson (missing fixture), L. Abergel (missing fixture), A. Abdi (missing fixture) +2 more · Le Mans: Djibril Sidibé (missing fixture), H. Diallo (missing fixture), S. Yohou (questionable) +3 more

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RB Bragantino v Bahia

Brazil · Serie A Sat 5 Sep, 19:00 UTC

RB Bragantino to win · 47% model probability · odds 2.00 · edge -3 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to RB Bragantino to win, which it rates at 47%. Form lines of WLDWW and WDDLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha (questionable), A. Sant'Anna (missing fixture), I. Pitta (missing fixture) +2 more · Bahia: Léo Vieira (missing fixture), Éverton Ribeiro (missing fixture), Everaldo (missing fixture)

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Willem II v Excelsior

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 5 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -2.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 63%. Form lines of DLWDW and WWWDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Eredivisie. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Willem II: T. Didillon (missing fixture), T. Vilhena (missing fixture), Jari Schuurman (missing fixture) +4 more · Excelsior: N. Naujoks (questionable)

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ST Mirren v Celtic

Scotland · Premiership Sat 5 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Celtic to win · 65% model probability · odds 1.48 · edge -2.6 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Celtic to win, which it rates at 65%. Form lines of DWDLL and WWWWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premiership. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

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Swansea v Wrexham

England · Championship Sat 5 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Swansea to win · 43% model probability · odds 2.20 · edge -2.5 pts

The model makes Swansea to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 43% likelihood. Recent form reads DWLDL for Swansea and WDLWL for Wrexham, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Swansea: C. Burgess (missing fixture), Gonçalo Franco (missing fixture), B. Cabango (questionable) · Wrexham: L. Cacace (missing fixture), B. Sheaf (missing fixture), G. Thomason (missing fixture) +1 more

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Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna

Spain · La Liga Sat 5 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Villarreal to win · 62% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -4.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Villarreal to win, which it rates at 62%. Villarreal arrive on a WDWLW run while Deportivo La Coruna have gone DWDDD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Villarreal: J. Foyth (questionable) · Deportivo La Coruna: Adama Traoré (missing fixture), Adrià Altimira (missing fixture), Marc Casadó (missing fixture) +2 more

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Sporting CP v Nacional

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 5 Sep, 19:30 UTC

Sporting CP to win · 80% model probability · odds 1.20 · edge -3.3 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Sporting CP to win, which it rates at 80%. Sporting CP arrive on a WWWWD run while Nacional have gone LDLWL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

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Sao Paulo v Atletico-MG

Brazil · Serie A Sat 5 Sep, 21:30 UTC

Sao Paulo to win · 44% model probability · odds 2.15 · edge -2.5 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Sao Paulo to win, which it rates at 44%. Form lines of WLDDW and DWWLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Sao Paulo: Lucas Moura (missing fixture), Victor Sá (missing fixture), D. Bobadilla (missing fixture) +1 more · Atletico-MG: Igor Gomes (missing fixture), Léo Duarte (missing fixture), Lyanco (missing fixture) +3 more

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Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 5 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Inter Miami to win · 72% model probability · odds 1.33 · edge -3.2 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 72% for Inter Miami to win. Form lines of WWWWL and WLLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Inter Miami: T. Allende (missing fixture), Micael (missing fixture), Tyler Hall (questionable) +2 more · Atlanta United FC: B. Embolo (missing fixture), Matthew Edwards (questionable), A. Fortune (missing fixture) +2 more

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Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 5 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Philadelphia Union to win · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts

The model makes Philadelphia Union to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 66% likelihood. Philadelphia Union arrive on a DWWWD run while CF Montreal have gone LWLDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya (questionable) · CF Montreal: F. Amaya (missing fixture), B. Hidalgo (questionable), E. Morales (missing fixture)

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FC Cincinnati v DC United

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 5 Sep, 23:30 UTC

FC Cincinnati to win · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts

This one comes down to FC Cincinnati to win. The model puts it at 60%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWWLW for FC Cincinnati and DDWDD for DC United, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — FC Cincinnati: Evander (questionable), D. Douděra (questionable), S. Gidi (questionable) +1 more · DC United: K. Rowles (questionable), Gabriel Segal (missing fixture), T. Baribo (missing fixture)

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Orlando City SC v San Diego

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 5 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 71% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -2.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 71% for both teams to score. Orlando City SC arrive on a LDWWL run while San Diego have gone LDLDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Orlando City SC: B. Ojeda (missing fixture), Bernardo Rhein Goncalves (missing fixture), A. Gomez (questionable) · San Diego: M. Ingvartsen (missing fixture), J. Tverskov (missing fixture)

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Columbus Crew v Colorado Rapids

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 5 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Columbus Crew to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -2.3 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Columbus Crew to win, which it rates at 49%. Columbus Crew arrive on a LLWLW run while Colorado Rapids have gone LLWLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Columbus Crew: W. Abou Ali (missing fixture), J. Thiaré (questionable), R. Camacho (missing fixture) +1 more · Colorado Rapids: Z. Steffen (missing fixture), T. Ku-DiPietro (missing fixture), H. Ojediran (missing fixture) +3 more

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Toronto FC v Chicago Fire

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 5 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 63% for both teams to score. Recent form reads DDLDL for Toronto FC and DWLLW for Chicago Fire, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Toronto FC: N. Dorsch (missing fixture), J. Osorio (missing fixture), N. Palacio (missing fixture) +1 more · Chicago Fire: C. Mueller (missing fixture), M. Mbokazi (missing fixture)

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Charlotte v Houston Dynamo

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 5 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -4.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 59%. Recent form reads DWWLD for Charlotte and WWWDL for Houston Dynamo, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Charlotte: H. Toffolo (missing fixture), N. Berchimas (missing fixture), A. John (missing fixture) · Houston Dynamo: M. Saracchi (questionable), J. Maurer (missing fixture)

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