Kick-off 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC
Tottenham
v
Aston Villa
England · Premier League
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Tottenham to win
· 49% model probability
· odds 1.91 · edge -3.4 pts
The model makes Tottenham to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 49% likelihood. Recent form reads WDDLW for Tottenham and LWWDL for Aston Villa, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 1.91
Draw 3.50
Away 3.80
BTTS 1.62
O2.5 1.73
More Tottenham to win tips
· Premier League predictions
Cardiff
v
Charlton
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Cardiff to win
· 57% model probability
· odds 1.70 · edge -1.8 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Cardiff to win, which it rates at 57%. Form lines of DWWWD and DWLDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 56%
O2.5 56%
Odds
Home 1.70
Draw 3.90
Away 4.33
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.67
More Cardiff to win tips
· Championship predictions
Millwall
v
West Ham
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Both teams to score
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 61%. Recent form reads LWLWW for Millwall and DLLDL for West Ham, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 60%
Odds
Home 4.00
Draw 3.80
Away 1.75
BTTS 1.53
O2.5 1.57
More Both teams to score tips
· Championship predictions
Stoke City
v
Sheffield Utd
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Stoke City to win
· 37% model probability
· odds 2.45 · edge -3.8 pts
This one comes down to Stoke City to win. The model puts it at 37%, its highest figure for the match. Stoke City arrive on a LLLDW run while Sheffield Utd have gone DWWLD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 52%
Odds
Home 2.45
Draw 3.30
Away 2.62
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.80
More Stoke City to win tips
· Championship predictions
Rochdale
v
Oldham
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Both teams to score
· 58% model probability
· odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 58% for both teams to score. Form lines of LWLLD and LDLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 58%
O2.5 54%
Odds
Home 3.30
Draw 3.40
Away 2.05
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.80
More Both teams to score tips
· League Two predictions
Walsall
v
Port Vale
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Walsall to win
· 38% model probability
· odds 2.45 · edge -2.8 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 38% for Walsall to win. Form lines of DWDDD and LLLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 55%
O2.5 49%
Odds
Home 2.45
Draw 3.20
Away 2.75
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.90
More Walsall to win tips
· League Two predictions
Barnsley
v
Leicester
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Both teams to score
· 65% model probability
· odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 65% for both teams to score. Form lines of WLDLL and WLDDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 65%
O2.5 63%
Odds
Home 3.20
Draw 3.70
Away 1.95
BTTS 1.44
O2.5 1.50
More Both teams to score tips
· League One predictions
Burton Albion
v
Mansfield Town
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Burton Albion to win
· 37% model probability
· odds 2.50 · edge -3 pts
The model makes Burton Albion to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 37% likelihood. Form lines of DWDLW and LLLWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 56%
O2.5 51%
Odds
Home 2.50
Draw 3.30
Away 2.60
BTTS 1.70
O2.5 1.85
More Burton Albion to win tips
· League One predictions
Hartlepool
v
Worthing
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Both teams to score
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.62 · edge -0.7 pts
This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 61%, its highest figure for the match. Hartlepool arrive on a LWLLW run while Worthing have gone DLWDD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 60%
Odds
Home 1.75
Draw 3.80
Away 3.80
BTTS 1.62
O2.5 1.60
More Both teams to score tips
· National League predictions
Tamworth
v
Wealdstone
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Both teams to score
· 64% model probability
· odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 64% likelihood. Tamworth arrive on a LDWWL run while Wealdstone have gone WWLDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 64%
O2.5 63%
Odds
Home 1.90
Draw 3.75
Away 3.30
BTTS 1.50
O2.5 1.50
More Both teams to score tips
· National League predictions
Kick-off 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC
Dundee
v
Motherwell
Scotland · Premiership
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 58% model probability
· odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 58% likelihood. Form lines of LWWWW and DWWLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premiership. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 58%
O2.5 53%
Odds
Home 3.10
Draw 3.50
Away 2.15
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.80
More Both teams to score tips
Hibernian
v
Aberdeen
Scotland · Premiership
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Hibernian to win
· 54% model probability
· odds 1.75 · edge -3.1 pts
This one comes down to Hibernian to win. The model puts it at 54%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of LLLLW and LLDLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premiership. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 56%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 1.75
Draw 3.75
Away 4.20
BTTS 1.70
O2.5 1.73
More Hibernian to win tips
ST Johnstone
v
Falkirk
Scotland · Premiership
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
ST Johnstone to win
· 44% model probability
· odds 2.20 · edge -1.5 pts
This one comes down to ST Johnstone to win. The model puts it at 44%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LWWDW for ST Johnstone and DLDDW for Falkirk, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 52%
Odds
Home 2.20
Draw 3.50
Away 3.00
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.80
More ST Johnstone to win tips
ST Mirren
v
Dundee Utd
Scotland · Premiership
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 58% model probability
· odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 58%. ST Mirren arrive on a DWDLL run while Dundee Utd have gone LLDLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 58%
O2.5 54%
Odds
Home 2.25
Draw 3.50
Away 2.90
BTTS 1.62
O2.5 1.73
More Both teams to score tips
Brighton
v
Arsenal
England · Premier League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Arsenal to win
· 57% model probability
· odds 1.62 · edge -4.7 pts
The model makes Arsenal to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 57% likelihood. Recent form reads WLWWW for Brighton and WDWWD for Arsenal, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 54%
O2.5 54%
Odds
Home 5.00
Draw 3.75
Away 1.62
BTTS 1.75
O2.5 1.73
More Arsenal to win tips
· Premier League predictions
Everton
v
Ipswich
England · Premier League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Everton to win
· 54% model probability
· odds 1.70 · edge -4.8 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 54% for Everton to win. Recent form reads WLDLW for Everton and LDDWL for Ipswich, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 56%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 1.70
Draw 3.60
Away 4.50
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.73
More Everton to win tips
· Premier League predictions
Newcastle
v
Hull City
England · Premier League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Newcastle to win
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
The model makes Newcastle to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Recent form reads DWWLL for Newcastle and WLDLD for Hull City, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 60%
Odds
Home 1.57
Draw 4.50
Away 5.00
BTTS 1.70
O2.5 1.62
More Newcastle to win tips
· Premier League predictions
Birmingham
v
Middlesbrough
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Middlesbrough to win
· 39% model probability
· odds 2.30 · edge -4.5 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 39% for Middlesbrough to win. Form lines of DWWWL and DLLLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 52%
Odds
Home 2.88
Draw 3.40
Away 2.30
BTTS 1.62
O2.5 1.80
More Middlesbrough to win tips
· Championship predictions
Burnley
v
Derby
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Burnley to win
· 50% model probability
· odds 1.80 · edge -5.6 pts
This one comes down to Burnley to win. The model puts it at 50%, its highest figure for the match. Burnley arrive on a DDDDL run while Derby have gone LWLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 54%
O2.5 50%
Odds
Home 1.80
Draw 3.40
Away 4.10
BTTS 1.73
O2.5 1.91
More Burnley to win tips
· Championship predictions
Lincoln
v
Swansea
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Lincoln to win
· 36% model probability
· odds 2.70 · edge -1 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 36% for Lincoln to win. Recent form reads LWWWW for Lincoln and WDWWD for Swansea, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 56%
O2.5 51%
Odds
Home 2.70
Draw 3.30
Away 2.45
BTTS 1.73
O2.5 1.91
More Lincoln to win tips
· Championship predictions
Portsmouth
v
Blackburn
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Portsmouth to win
· 45% model probability
· odds 2.10 · edge -2.6 pts
This one comes down to Portsmouth to win. The model puts it at 45%, its highest figure for the match. Portsmouth arrive on a LDWWD run while Blackburn have gone DWLDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 51%
O2.5 45%
Odds
Home 2.10
Draw 3.25
Away 3.40
BTTS 1.83
O2.5 2.10
More Portsmouth to win tips
· Championship predictions
QPR
v
Preston
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
QPR to win
· 56% model probability
· odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts
The model makes QPR to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 56% likelihood. Recent form reads WDLLD for QPR and LWLWD for Preston, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 53%
O2.5 53%
Odds
Home 1.67
Draw 3.75
Away 4.50
BTTS 1.73
O2.5 1.80
More QPR to win tips
· Championship predictions
Wrexham
v
Southampton
England · Championship
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 58% model probability
· odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 58% for both teams to score. Wrexham arrive on a LDDWL run while Southampton have gone LDWWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 58%
O2.5 53%
Odds
Home 3.00
Draw 3.30
Away 2.20
BTTS 1.62
O2.5 1.80
More Both teams to score tips
· Championship predictions
Accrington ST
v
Newport County
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Accrington ST to win
· 47% model probability
· odds 2.00 · edge -3 pts
The model makes Accrington ST to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 47% likelihood. Accrington ST arrive on a DLLLD run while Newport County have gone WLLLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 55%
O2.5 52%
Odds
Home 2.00
Draw 3.40
Away 3.40
BTTS 1.73
O2.5 1.85
More Accrington ST to win tips
· League Two predictions
Barnet
v
Fleetwood Town
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Barnet to win
· 55% model probability
· odds 1.70 · edge -3.8 pts
This one comes down to Barnet to win. The model puts it at 55%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWWLW for Barnet and DWDLD for Fleetwood Town, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 57%
Odds
Home 1.70
Draw 3.70
Away 4.20
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.67
More Barnet to win tips
· League Two predictions
Chesterfield
v
York
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Form lines of DDLDL and DLDLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 57%
Odds
Home 2.35
Draw 3.40
Away 2.62
BTTS 1.53
O2.5 1.67
More Both teams to score tips
· League Two predictions
Colchester
v
Cheltenham
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Colchester to win
· 50% model probability
· odds 1.85 · edge -4.1 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 50% for Colchester to win. Form lines of DWWLL and WDLWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 1.85
Draw 3.50
Away 3.70
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.75
More Colchester to win tips
· League Two predictions
Crewe
v
Shrewsbury
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Crewe to win
· 47% model probability
· odds 1.95 · edge -4.3 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Crewe to win, which it rates at 47%. Crewe arrive on a DLWWL run while Shrewsbury have gone LDLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 52%
O2.5 47%
Odds
Home 1.95
Draw 3.30
Away 3.60
BTTS 1.80
O2.5 2.00
More Crewe to win tips
· League Two predictions
Exeter City
v
Tranmere
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Exeter City to win
· 44% model probability
· odds 2.15 · edge -2.5 pts
The model makes Exeter City to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 44% likelihood. Form lines of WDDWD and LDDLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 54%
O2.5 49%
Odds
Home 2.15
Draw 3.30
Away 3.00
BTTS 1.80
O2.5 1.95
More Exeter City to win tips
· League Two predictions
Gillingham
v
Bristol Rovers
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Bristol Rovers to win
· 48% model probability
· odds 1.90 · edge -4.6 pts
This one comes down to Bristol Rovers to win. The model puts it at 48%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WLWLL for Gillingham and DWWWL for Bristol Rovers, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 55%
O2.5 52%
Odds
Home 3.70
Draw 3.40
Away 1.90
BTTS 1.73
O2.5 1.85
More Bristol Rovers to win tips
· League Two predictions
Grimsby
v
Crawley Town
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Grimsby to win
· 65% model probability
· odds 1.45 · edge -4 pts
The model makes Grimsby to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 65% likelihood. Grimsby arrive on a LWWWW run while Crawley Town have gone DLLDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 55%
O2.5 60%
Odds
Home 1.45
Draw 4.10
Away 6.25
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.57
More Grimsby to win tips
· League Two predictions
Northampton
v
Rotherham
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Northampton to win
· 40% model probability
· odds 2.25 · edge -4.4 pts
This one comes down to Northampton to win. The model puts it at 40%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of LLLDL and LWLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 52%
O2.5 46%
Odds
Home 2.25
Draw 3.25
Away 2.80
BTTS 1.83
O2.5 2.08
More Northampton to win tips
· League Two predictions
Salford City
v
Swindon Town
England · League Two
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Salford City to win
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Salford City to win, which it rates at 61%. Salford City arrive on a DDWWW run while Swindon Town have gone LLDWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 54%
O2.5 57%
Odds
Home 1.53
Draw 4.10
Away 5.00
BTTS 1.73
O2.5 1.65
More Salford City to win tips
· League Two predictions
Blackpool
v
Plymouth
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 64% model probability
· odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 64%. Blackpool arrive on a DWLDL run while Plymouth have gone WLDWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 64%
O2.5 61%
Odds
Home 2.55
Draw 3.50
Away 2.45
BTTS 1.50
O2.5 1.57
More Both teams to score tips
· League One predictions
Bromley
v
Huddersfield
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Huddersfield to win
· 56% model probability
· odds 1.65 · edge -4.6 pts
This one comes down to Huddersfield to win. The model puts it at 56%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DWDWW and DWDWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 57%
O2.5 57%
Odds
Home 4.75
Draw 3.75
Away 1.65
BTTS 1.70
O2.5 1.67
More Huddersfield to win tips
· League One predictions
Leyton Orient
v
Stevenage
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Leyton Orient to win
· 41% model probability
· odds 2.25 · edge -3.4 pts
This one comes down to Leyton Orient to win. The model puts it at 41%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DLDLW and LDLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 50%
O2.5 43%
Odds
Home 2.25
Draw 3.20
Away 3.00
BTTS 1.95
O2.5 2.15
More Leyton Orient to win tips
· League One predictions
Luton
v
Bradford
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Luton to win
· 46% model probability
· odds 2.05 · edge -2.8 pts
The model makes Luton to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 46% likelihood. Form lines of WDWDL and WLWDW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 55%
O2.5 50%
Odds
Home 2.05
Draw 3.30
Away 3.30
BTTS 1.75
O2.5 1.85
More Luton to win tips
· League One predictions
Oxford United
v
Cambridge United
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Oxford United to win
· 44% model probability
· odds 2.05 · edge -4.8 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Oxford United to win, which it rates at 44%. Oxford United arrive on a WLWDD run while Cambridge United have gone DDDDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 52%
O2.5 47%
Odds
Home 2.05
Draw 3.30
Away 3.20
BTTS 1.75
O2.5 1.95
More Oxford United to win tips
· League One predictions
Peterborough
v
Doncaster
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 65% model probability
· odds 1.50 · edge -1.7 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 65% for both teams to score. Recent form reads WLDWL for Peterborough and WWLWL for Doncaster, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
BTTS 65%
O2.5 62%
Odds
Home 2.25
Draw 3.60
Away 2.75
BTTS 1.50
O2.5 1.57
More Both teams to score tips
· League One predictions
Reading
v
Notts County
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Reading to win
· 51% model probability
· odds 1.83 · edge -3.6 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Reading to win, which it rates at 51%. Reading arrive on a WLLWD run while Notts County have gone DWWLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 56%
O2.5 54%
Odds
Home 1.83
Draw 3.50
Away 3.80
BTTS 1.70
O2.5 1.75
More Reading to win tips
· League One predictions
Sheffield Wednesday
v
Stockport County
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 61% for both teams to score. Form lines of LWDDL and LLWWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 58%
Odds
Home 2.80
Draw 3.40
Away 2.20
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.65
More Both teams to score tips
· League One predictions
Wigan
v
Wycombe
England · League One
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 60% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 60% likelihood. Wigan arrive on a LLWWW run while Wycombe have gone LDLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 60%
O2.5 56%
Odds
Home 2.50
Draw 3.40
Away 2.55
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.70
More Both teams to score tips
· League One predictions
AFC Fylde
v
Altrincham
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
AFC Fylde to win
· 57% model probability
· odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts
This one comes down to AFC Fylde to win. The model puts it at 57%, its highest figure for the match. AFC Fylde arrive on a DWDLL run while Altrincham have gone LWLLD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 63%
Odds
Home 1.67
Draw 3.90
Away 4.20
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.53
More AFC Fylde to win tips
· National League predictions
Barrow
v
Aldershot Town
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 61% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Barrow arrive on a WLLWW run while Aldershot Town have gone WDDWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 58%
Odds
Home 1.95
Draw 3.60
Away 3.25
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.62
More Both teams to score tips
· National League predictions
Boreham Wood
v
Harrogate Town
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Boreham Wood to win
· 59% model probability
· odds 1.60 · edge -3.5 pts
The standout number in the model's output is 59% for Boreham Wood to win. Form lines of WWWWD and WLWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 61%
O2.5 63%
Odds
Home 1.60
Draw 4.10
Away 4.50
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.50
More Boreham Wood to win tips
· National League predictions
Eastleigh
v
Carlisle
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Carlisle to win
· 52% model probability
· odds 1.75 · edge -5.1 pts
Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Carlisle to win, which it rates at 52%. Form lines of DDWWL and LDDWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Model
BTTS 60%
O2.5 60%
Odds
Home 3.70
Draw 3.75
Away 1.75
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.60
More Carlisle to win tips
· National League predictions
FC Halifax Town
v
Sutton Utd
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 58% model probability
· odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 58% likelihood. FC Halifax Town arrive on a WWWWW run while Sutton Utd have gone LWWWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Model
BTTS 58%
O2.5 54%
Odds
Home 2.30
Draw 3.50
Away 2.70
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.80
More Both teams to score tips
· National League predictions
Forest Green
v
Boston United
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 70% model probability
This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 70%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WLLWL for Forest Green and DLWLW for Boston United, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
More Both teams to score tips
· National League predictions
Gateshead
v
Southend
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Southend to win
· 65% model probability
The model makes Southend to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 65% likelihood. Gateshead arrive on a LDLDW run while Southend have gone DDWWL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
More Southend to win tips
· National League predictions
Woking
v
Kidderminster Harriers
England · National League
Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 63% model probability
This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 63%, its highest figure for the match. Woking arrive on a WWDWD run while Kidderminster Harriers have gone WWLWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
More Both teams to score tips
· National League predictions