Weekend Football Predictions

Last updated 38 minutes ago

Every selection below comes from the model rather than a person. It prices each fixture across every league we track, and the strongest angle per match is shown with three numbers: the model's probability, the current odds, and the edge, which is the gap between the two expressed in percentage points. A positive edge means the model rates the outcome more likely than the price implies. That is the whole method, and its complete record, wins and losses alike, is on the results page. Probabilities are estimates, not promises, and a 70% chance still fails three times in ten. And if you arrived searching for AI soccer predictions rather than football ones: same game, same model, same numbers.

Kick-off 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Groningen v PEC Zwolle

Netherlands · Eredivisie Fri 18 Sep, 18:00 UTC

Groningen to win · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts

The model makes Groningen to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 59% likelihood. Recent form reads LWWLD for Groningen and WLLLD for PEC Zwolle, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 1.62 Draw 4.20 Away 4.60 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.44

Kick-off 2026-09-18 18:30 UTC

Bayern München v Union Berlin

Germany · Bundesliga Fri 18 Sep, 18:30 UTC

Bayern München to win · 92% model probability · odds 1.07 · edge -1.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 92% for Bayern München to win. Bayern München arrive on a WWDDW run while Union Berlin have gone WLLLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 50% O2.5 85%

Odds Home 1.07 Draw 13.00 Away 21.00 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.14

Kick-off 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC

Monza v Sassuolo

Italy · Serie A Fri 18 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 58%. Recent form reads LWDWW for Monza and LLLDL for Sassuolo, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 3.00 Draw 3.30 Away 2.30 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.80

Monaco v Lens

France · Ligue 1 Fri 18 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 63% for both teams to score. Monaco arrive on a WLDWW run while Lens have gone WDDLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 61%

Odds Home 2.10 Draw 3.70 Away 3.20 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.57

Yeovil Town v Solihull Moors

England · National League Fri 18 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Yeovil Town to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -5.1 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 52% for Yeovil Town to win. Form lines of LWWDL and DLLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 57%

Odds Home 1.75 Draw 3.70 Away 3.90 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.67

Kick-off 2026-09-18 19:00 UTC

Brentford v Chelsea

England · Premier League Fri 18 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 67% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -2.4 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 67%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of WDWDD and WLDLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premier League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 67% O2.5 65%

Odds Home 2.88 Draw 3.70 Away 2.20 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.50

Bristol City v Watford

England · Championship Fri 18 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Bristol City to win · 48% model probability · odds 1.90 · edge -4.6 pts

The model makes Bristol City to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 48% likelihood. Recent form reads LWLWL for Bristol City and DLLLL for Watford, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 53% O2.5 50%

Odds Home 1.90 Draw 3.40 Away 3.80 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.91

Espanyol v Elche

Spain · La Liga Fri 18 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Espanyol to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.83 · edge -2.6 pts

This one comes down to Espanyol to win. The model puts it at 52%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LWDWL for Espanyol and LDDLL for Elche, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 49%

Odds Home 1.83 Draw 3.60 Away 4.20 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 1.91

Kick-off 2026-09-18 23:30 UTC

New York City FC v New York Red Bulls

USA · Major League Soccer Fri 18 Sep, 23:30 UTC

New York City FC to win · 53% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -2.6 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to New York City FC to win, which it rates at 53%. Form lines of LDWWL and LWWLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 64% O2.5 65%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 3.90 Away 4.00 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.48

Kick-off 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Tottenham v Aston Villa

England · Premier League Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Tottenham to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.91 · edge -3.4 pts

The model makes Tottenham to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 49% likelihood. Recent form reads WDDLW for Tottenham and LWWDL for Aston Villa, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 55%

Odds Home 1.91 Draw 3.50 Away 3.80 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.73

Cardiff v Charlton

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Cardiff to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -1.8 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Cardiff to win, which it rates at 57%. Form lines of DWWWD and DWLDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 56%

Odds Home 1.70 Draw 3.90 Away 4.33 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.67

Millwall v West Ham

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 61%. Recent form reads LWLWW for Millwall and DLLDL for West Ham, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 4.00 Draw 3.80 Away 1.75 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.57

Stoke City v Sheffield Utd

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Stoke City to win · 37% model probability · odds 2.45 · edge -3.8 pts

This one comes down to Stoke City to win. The model puts it at 37%, its highest figure for the match. Stoke City arrive on a LLLDW run while Sheffield Utd have gone DWWLD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 52%

Odds Home 2.45 Draw 3.30 Away 2.62 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.80

Rochdale v Oldham

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 58% for both teams to score. Form lines of LWLLD and LDLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 54%

Odds Home 3.30 Draw 3.40 Away 2.05 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.80

Walsall v Port Vale

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Walsall to win · 38% model probability · odds 2.45 · edge -2.8 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 38% for Walsall to win. Form lines of DWDDD and LLLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 49%

Odds Home 2.45 Draw 3.20 Away 2.75 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.90

Barnsley v Leicester

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 65% for both teams to score. Form lines of WLDLL and WLDDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 3.20 Draw 3.70 Away 1.95 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.50

Burton Albion v Mansfield Town

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Burton Albion to win · 37% model probability · odds 2.50 · edge -3 pts

The model makes Burton Albion to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 37% likelihood. Form lines of DWDLW and LLLWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 51%

Odds Home 2.50 Draw 3.30 Away 2.60 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.85

Hartlepool v Worthing

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -0.7 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 61%, its highest figure for the match. Hartlepool arrive on a LWLLW run while Worthing have gone DLWDD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 1.75 Draw 3.80 Away 3.80 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.60

Tamworth v Wealdstone

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 64% likelihood. Tamworth arrive on a LDWWL run while Wealdstone have gone WWLDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 64% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 1.90 Draw 3.75 Away 3.30 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.50

Kick-off 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC

Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano

Spain · La Liga Sat 19 Sep, 12:00 UTC

Osasuna to win · 43% model probability · odds 2.25 · edge -1.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 43% for Osasuna to win. Osasuna arrive on a WDLLL run while Rayo Vallecano have gone LLLWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 51% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.25 Away 3.25 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.10

Kick-off 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Bologna v Torino

Italy · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Bologna to win · 50% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -4.1 pts

The model makes Bologna to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 50% likelihood. Form lines of LDDLW and LLDWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 50% O2.5 47%

Odds Home 1.85 Draw 3.50 Away 4.10 BTTS 1.91 O2.5 2.00

Udinese v Cagliari

Italy · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Udinese to win · 43% model probability · odds 2.20 · edge -2.5 pts

This one comes down to Udinese to win. The model puts it at 43%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DLWLD and WWWDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 48% O2.5 41%

Odds Home 2.20 Draw 3.10 Away 3.40 BTTS 1.95 O2.5 2.30

Kick-off 2026-09-19 13:30 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 19 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 67% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -4.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 67%. Form lines of DLLDW and LLLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Bundesliga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 67% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.70 Away 2.80 BTTS 1.40 O2.5 1.44

Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 19 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -1.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 64% for both teams to score. Form lines of WLDDL and LDDDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Bundesliga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 64% O2.5 61%

Odds Home 2.62 Draw 3.70 Away 2.40 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.57

Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 19 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 68%. Recent form reads LLWLL for Werder Bremen and LWWDL for FC Augsburg, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 68% O2.5 67%

Odds Home 2.38 Draw 3.70 Away 2.70 BTTS 1.40 O2.5 1.44

Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 19 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 65%, its highest figure for the match. Borussia Mönchengladbach arrive on a WWDDW run while FSV Mainz 05 have gone WWDLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 2.90 Draw 3.70 Away 2.20 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.53

Kick-off 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Dundee v Motherwell

Scotland · Premiership Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 58% likelihood. Form lines of LWWWW and DWWLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premiership. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 3.10 Draw 3.50 Away 2.15 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.80

Hibernian v Aberdeen

Scotland · Premiership Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Hibernian to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -3.1 pts

This one comes down to Hibernian to win. The model puts it at 54%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of LLLLW and LLDLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premiership. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 55%

Odds Home 1.75 Draw 3.75 Away 4.20 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.73

ST Johnstone v Falkirk

Scotland · Premiership Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

ST Johnstone to win · 44% model probability · odds 2.20 · edge -1.5 pts

This one comes down to ST Johnstone to win. The model puts it at 44%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LWWDW for ST Johnstone and DLDDW for Falkirk, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 52%

Odds Home 2.20 Draw 3.50 Away 3.00 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.80

ST Mirren v Dundee Utd

Scotland · Premiership Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 58%. ST Mirren arrive on a DWDLL run while Dundee Utd have gone LLDLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 54%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.50 Away 2.90 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.73

Brighton v Arsenal

England · Premier League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Arsenal to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -4.7 pts

The model makes Arsenal to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 57% likelihood. Recent form reads WLWWW for Brighton and WDWWD for Arsenal, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 54%

Odds Home 5.00 Draw 3.75 Away 1.62 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.73

Everton v Ipswich

England · Premier League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Everton to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -4.8 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 54% for Everton to win. Recent form reads WLDLW for Everton and LDDWL for Ipswich, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 55%

Odds Home 1.70 Draw 3.60 Away 4.50 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.73

Newcastle v Hull City

England · Premier League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Newcastle to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts

The model makes Newcastle to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Recent form reads DWWLL for Newcastle and WLDLD for Hull City, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 1.57 Draw 4.50 Away 5.00 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.62

Birmingham v Middlesbrough

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Middlesbrough to win · 39% model probability · odds 2.30 · edge -4.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 39% for Middlesbrough to win. Form lines of DWWWL and DLLLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Championship. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 52%

Odds Home 2.88 Draw 3.40 Away 2.30 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.80

Burnley v Derby

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Burnley to win · 50% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -5.6 pts

This one comes down to Burnley to win. The model puts it at 50%, its highest figure for the match. Burnley arrive on a DDDDL run while Derby have gone LWLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 50%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 3.40 Away 4.10 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.91

Lincoln v Swansea

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Lincoln to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.70 · edge -1 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 36% for Lincoln to win. Recent form reads LWWWW for Lincoln and WDWWD for Swansea, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 51%

Odds Home 2.70 Draw 3.30 Away 2.45 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.91

Portsmouth v Blackburn

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Portsmouth to win · 45% model probability · odds 2.10 · edge -2.6 pts

This one comes down to Portsmouth to win. The model puts it at 45%, its highest figure for the match. Portsmouth arrive on a LDWWD run while Blackburn have gone DWLDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 51% O2.5 45%

Odds Home 2.10 Draw 3.25 Away 3.40 BTTS 1.83 O2.5 2.10

QPR v Preston

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

QPR to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts

The model makes QPR to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 56% likelihood. Recent form reads WDLLD for QPR and LWLWD for Preston, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 53% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 1.67 Draw 3.75 Away 4.50 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.80

Wrexham v Southampton

England · Championship Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 58% for both teams to score. Wrexham arrive on a LDDWL run while Southampton have gone LDWWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 3.00 Draw 3.30 Away 2.20 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.80

Accrington ST v Newport County

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Accrington ST to win · 47% model probability · odds 2.00 · edge -3 pts

The model makes Accrington ST to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 47% likelihood. Accrington ST arrive on a DLLLD run while Newport County have gone WLLLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 52%

Odds Home 2.00 Draw 3.40 Away 3.40 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.85

Barnet v Fleetwood Town

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Barnet to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -3.8 pts

This one comes down to Barnet to win. The model puts it at 55%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWWLW for Barnet and DWDLD for Fleetwood Town, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 57%

Odds Home 1.70 Draw 3.70 Away 4.20 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.67

Chesterfield v York

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Form lines of DDLDL and DLDLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 57%

Odds Home 2.35 Draw 3.40 Away 2.62 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.67

Colchester v Cheltenham

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Colchester to win · 50% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -4.1 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 50% for Colchester to win. Form lines of DWWLL and WDLWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 55%

Odds Home 1.85 Draw 3.50 Away 3.70 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.75

Crewe v Shrewsbury

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Crewe to win · 47% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -4.3 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Crewe to win, which it rates at 47%. Crewe arrive on a DLWWL run while Shrewsbury have gone LDLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 47%

Odds Home 1.95 Draw 3.30 Away 3.60 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.00

Exeter City v Tranmere

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Exeter City to win · 44% model probability · odds 2.15 · edge -2.5 pts

The model makes Exeter City to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 44% likelihood. Form lines of WDDWD and LDDLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 49%

Odds Home 2.15 Draw 3.30 Away 3.00 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 1.95

Gillingham v Bristol Rovers

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Bristol Rovers to win · 48% model probability · odds 1.90 · edge -4.6 pts

This one comes down to Bristol Rovers to win. The model puts it at 48%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WLWLL for Gillingham and DWWWL for Bristol Rovers, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 52%

Odds Home 3.70 Draw 3.40 Away 1.90 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.85

Grimsby v Crawley Town

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Grimsby to win · 65% model probability · odds 1.45 · edge -4 pts

The model makes Grimsby to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 65% likelihood. Grimsby arrive on a LWWWW run while Crawley Town have gone DLLDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 1.45 Draw 4.10 Away 6.25 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.57

Northampton v Rotherham

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Northampton to win · 40% model probability · odds 2.25 · edge -4.4 pts

This one comes down to Northampton to win. The model puts it at 40%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of LLLDL and LWLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League Two. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.25 Away 2.80 BTTS 1.83 O2.5 2.08

Salford City v Swindon Town

England · League Two Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Salford City to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Salford City to win, which it rates at 61%. Salford City arrive on a DDWWW run while Swindon Town have gone LLDWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 57%

Odds Home 1.53 Draw 4.10 Away 5.00 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.65

Blackpool v Plymouth

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 64%. Blackpool arrive on a DWLDL run while Plymouth have gone WLDWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 64% O2.5 61%

Odds Home 2.55 Draw 3.50 Away 2.45 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.57

Bromley v Huddersfield

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Huddersfield to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.65 · edge -4.6 pts

This one comes down to Huddersfield to win. The model puts it at 56%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DWDWW and DWDWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 57%

Odds Home 4.75 Draw 3.75 Away 1.65 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.67

Leyton Orient v Stevenage

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Leyton Orient to win · 41% model probability · odds 2.25 · edge -3.4 pts

This one comes down to Leyton Orient to win. The model puts it at 41%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DLDLW and LDLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 50% O2.5 43%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.20 Away 3.00 BTTS 1.95 O2.5 2.15

Luton v Bradford

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Luton to win · 46% model probability · odds 2.05 · edge -2.8 pts

The model makes Luton to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 46% likelihood. Form lines of WDWDL and WLWDW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 50%

Odds Home 2.05 Draw 3.30 Away 3.30 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.85

Oxford United v Cambridge United

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Oxford United to win · 44% model probability · odds 2.05 · edge -4.8 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Oxford United to win, which it rates at 44%. Oxford United arrive on a WLWDD run while Cambridge United have gone DDDDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 47%

Odds Home 2.05 Draw 3.30 Away 3.20 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.95

Peterborough v Doncaster

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -1.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 65% for both teams to score. Recent form reads WLDWL for Peterborough and WWLWL for Doncaster, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 62%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.60 Away 2.75 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.57

Reading v Notts County

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Reading to win · 51% model probability · odds 1.83 · edge -3.6 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Reading to win, which it rates at 51%. Reading arrive on a WLLWD run while Notts County have gone DWWLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 54%

Odds Home 1.83 Draw 3.50 Away 3.80 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.75

Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 61% for both teams to score. Form lines of LWDDL and LLWWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in League One. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 58%

Odds Home 2.80 Draw 3.40 Away 2.20 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.65

Wigan v Wycombe

England · League One Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 60% likelihood. Wigan arrive on a LLWWW run while Wycombe have gone LDLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 60% O2.5 56%

Odds Home 2.50 Draw 3.40 Away 2.55 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.70

AFC Fylde v Altrincham

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

AFC Fylde to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts

This one comes down to AFC Fylde to win. The model puts it at 57%, its highest figure for the match. AFC Fylde arrive on a DWDLL run while Altrincham have gone LWLLD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 1.67 Draw 3.90 Away 4.20 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.53

Barrow v Aldershot Town

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 61% likelihood. Barrow arrive on a WLLWW run while Aldershot Town have gone WDDWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 58%

Odds Home 1.95 Draw 3.60 Away 3.25 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.62

Boreham Wood v Harrogate Town

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Boreham Wood to win · 59% model probability · odds 1.60 · edge -3.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 59% for Boreham Wood to win. Form lines of WWWWD and WLWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 1.60 Draw 4.10 Away 4.50 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.50

Eastleigh v Carlisle

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Carlisle to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -5.1 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Carlisle to win, which it rates at 52%. Form lines of DDWWL and LDDWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 60% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 3.70 Draw 3.75 Away 1.75 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.60

FC Halifax Town v Sutton Utd

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 58% likelihood. FC Halifax Town arrive on a WWWWW run while Sutton Utd have gone LWWWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 54%

Odds Home 2.30 Draw 3.50 Away 2.70 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.80

Forest Green v Boston United

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 70% model probability

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 70%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WLLWL for Forest Green and DLWLW for Boston United, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 70% O2.5 70%

Gateshead v Southend

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Southend to win · 65% model probability

The model makes Southend to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 65% likelihood. Gateshead arrive on a LDLDW run while Southend have gone DDWWL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 61%

Woking v Kidderminster Harriers

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 63%, its highest figure for the match. Woking arrive on a WWDWD run while Kidderminster Harriers have gone WWLWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 60%

Kick-off 2026-09-19 14:15 UTC

Athletic Club v Alaves

Spain · La Liga Sat 19 Sep, 14:15 UTC

Athletic Club to win · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Athletic Club to win, which it rates at 58%. Recent form reads LDLWL for Athletic Club and DWDLD for Alaves, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 47% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 1.62 Draw 3.75 Away 5.75 BTTS 1.95 O2.5 2.00

Kick-off 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC

ADO Den Haag v Cambuur

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 19 Sep, 14:30 UTC

ADO Den Haag to win · 53% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -2.6 pts

This one comes down to ADO Den Haag to win. The model puts it at 53%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of LLDWW and DLLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Eredivisie. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 3.90 Away 4.00 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.48

GIL Vicente v Maritimo

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 19 Sep, 14:30 UTC

GIL Vicente to win · 46% model probability · odds 2.00 · edge -4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 46% for GIL Vicente to win. Form lines of LWWDD and LLWLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Primeira Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 44% O2.5 38%

Odds Home 2.00 Draw 3.20 Away 3.80 BTTS 2.10 O2.5 2.40

Nacional v Famalicao

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 19 Sep, 14:30 UTC

Famalicao to win · 47% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -4.3 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Famalicao to win, which it rates at 47%. Nacional arrive on a LWWLW run while Famalicao have gone LDDWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 51% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 3.90 Draw 3.40 Away 1.95 BTTS 1.91 O2.5 2.05

Kick-off 2026-09-19 15:15 UTC

Paris FC v Strasbourg

France · Ligue 1 Sat 19 Sep, 15:15 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 60%, its highest figure for the match. Paris FC arrive on a WWWLW run while Strasbourg have gone LWDLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 60% O2.5 58%

Odds Home 1.95 Draw 3.70 Away 3.60 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.67

Kick-off 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

AS Roma v Inter

Italy · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 16:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 61%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of WWWDW and WDWDW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 56%

Odds Home 2.60 Draw 3.50 Away 2.55 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.67

Kick-off 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC

Nottingham Forest v Coventry

England · Premier League Sat 19 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Nottingham Forest to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.65 · edge -4.6 pts

This one comes down to Nottingham Forest to win. The model puts it at 56%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LDDWW for Nottingham Forest and LWDDW for Coventry, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 54%

Odds Home 1.65 Draw 3.90 Away 5.00 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.73

Celta Vigo v Racing Santander

Spain · La Liga Sat 19 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Celta Vigo to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -3.6 pts

This one comes down to Celta Vigo to win. The model puts it at 52%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DLLDW and LLLLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in La Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 59% O2.5 58%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 3.75 Away 4.20 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.67

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund

Germany · Bundesliga Sat 19 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 69% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -4.5 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 69% likelihood. Form lines of WDWLW and WLLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Bundesliga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 69% O2.5 68%

Odds Home 2.20 Draw 4.00 Away 2.75 BTTS 1.36 O2.5 1.40

AFC Hornchurch v Scunthorpe

England · National League Sat 19 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability

The standout number in the model's output is 58% for both teams to score. AFC Hornchurch arrive on a WLWLW run while Scunthorpe have gone WLLLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 55%

Kick-off 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 19 Sep, 16:45 UTC

Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 66% likelihood. Form lines of DLLDL and DDLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Eredivisie. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 66% O2.5 64%

Odds Home 2.55 Draw 3.60 Away 2.55 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.50

Kilmarnock v Heart Of Midlothian

Scotland · Premiership Sat 19 Sep, 16:45 UTC

Heart Of Midlothian to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -4.9 pts

The model makes Heart Of Midlothian to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 55% likelihood. Recent form reads LLWWD for Kilmarnock and LLDWD for Heart Of Midlothian, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 60% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 4.50 Draw 3.90 Away 1.67 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.62

Kick-off 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC

Alverca v Rio Ave

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 19 Sep, 17:00 UTC

Alverca to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -2.1 pts

The model makes Alverca to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 52% likelihood. Recent form reads DDWWL for Alverca and WLDLW for Rio Ave, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 50% O2.5 47%

Odds Home 1.85 Draw 3.50 Away 4.00 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.00

Kick-off 2026-09-19 18:00 UTC

Ajax v Excelsior

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 19 Sep, 18:00 UTC

Ajax to win · 76% model probability · odds 1.25 · edge -4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Ajax to win, which it rates at 76%. Form lines of DDWDL and WWWDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Eredivisie. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 62% O2.5 77%

Odds Home 1.25 Draw 6.25 Away 9.00 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.25

Kick-off 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC

Venezia v Lazio

Italy · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts

The model makes both teams to score its strongest angle here, at an estimated 59% likelihood. Venezia arrive on a LLWWW run while Lazio have gone WLWWL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 59% O2.5 55%

Odds Home 3.50 Draw 3.40 Away 2.05 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.73

Angers v Estac Troyes

France · Ligue 1 Sat 19 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Angers to win · 41% model probability · odds 2.20 · edge -4.5 pts

This one comes down to Angers to win. The model puts it at 41%, its highest figure for the match. Angers arrive on a LLWLW run while Estac Troyes have gone LWDWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 53% O2.5 47%

Odds Home 2.20 Draw 3.20 Away 3.40 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.00

Le Mans v Lorient

France · Ligue 1 Sat 19 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Lorient to win · 38% model probability · odds 2.45 · edge -2.8 pts

This one comes down to Lorient to win. The model puts it at 38%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DDDWW and WDLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 51%

Odds Home 2.88 Draw 3.30 Away 2.45 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.80

Lyon v Rennes

France · Ligue 1 Sat 19 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 66%. Form lines of DLWWW and LLWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 66% O2.5 65%

Odds Home 2.10 Draw 3.75 Away 3.10 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.50

Toulouse v Le Havre

France · Ligue 1 Sat 19 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Toulouse to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -1.6 pts

The model makes Toulouse to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 54% likelihood. Form lines of LWDLW and DWDDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 50%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 3.50 Away 4.50 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 1.91

Kick-off 2026-09-19 19:00 UTC

Atletico-MG v Chapecoense-sc

Brazil · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Atletico-MG to win · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 68% for Atletico-MG to win. Form lines of WWWDL and LLDLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 46% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 1.40 Draw 4.33 Away 7.50 BTTS 2.00 O2.5 1.80

Willem II v Fortuna Sittard

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 19 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 65% for both teams to score. Willem II arrive on a DLWDW run while Fortuna Sittard have gone WDLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 62%

Odds Home 2.62 Draw 3.70 Away 2.38 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.53

Sevilla v Barcelona

Spain · La Liga Sat 19 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Barcelona to win · 77% model probability · odds 1.22 · edge -5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 77% for Barcelona to win. Sevilla arrive on a LWLWW run while Barcelona have gone WLLWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 71%

Odds Home 11.00 Draw 6.00 Away 1.22 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.36

Kick-off 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC

Sporting CP v Arouca

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sat 19 Sep, 19:30 UTC

Sporting CP to win · 82% model probability · odds 1.18 · edge -2.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Sporting CP to win, which it rates at 82%. Form lines of WWWWD and LWWLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Primeira Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 43% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 1.18 Draw 7.00 Away 13.00 BTTS 2.05 O2.5 1.44

Kick-off 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC

Mirassol v Botafogo

Brazil · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 20:00 UTC

Mirassol to win · 42% model probability · odds 2.25 · edge -2.4 pts

The model makes Mirassol to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 42% likelihood. Recent form reads DLWWW for Mirassol and LLWLD for Botafogo, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 48%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.30 Away 3.10 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.95

Kick-off 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC

Remo v Santos

Brazil · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 21:30 UTC

Santos to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.62 · edge -2.2 pts

This one comes down to Santos to win. The model puts it at 36%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LDWWL for Remo and WWLLD for Santos, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 53% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 2.62 Draw 3.20 Away 2.62 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.05

Kick-off 2026-09-19 23:30 UTC

San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 19 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 65% for both teams to score. Recent form reads DLLDW for San Jose Earthquakes and DLDWL for Los Angeles FC, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 3.00 Draw 3.70 Away 2.15 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.53

CF Montreal v Columbus Crew

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 19 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -2.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 63%. Form lines of DLDLD and DLLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 59%

Odds Home 2.35 Draw 3.60 Away 2.62 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.60

New England Revolution v Orlando City SC

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 19 Sep, 23:30 UTC

New England Revolution to win · 53% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -2.6 pts

The model makes New England Revolution to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 53% likelihood. Form lines of DLWDW and DLWLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 66% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 4.00 Away 3.70 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.44

DC United v Charlotte

USA · Major League Soccer Sat 19 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 63%, its highest figure for the match. DC United arrive on a DLDWD run while Charlotte have gone WDLWL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 2.50 Draw 3.60 Away 2.55 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.57

Vasco DA Gama v Coritiba

Brazil · Serie A Sat 19 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Vasco DA Gama to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.55 · edge -3.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 61% for Vasco DA Gama to win. Form lines of WLDLL and WDLWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 49% O2.5 52%

Odds Home 1.55 Draw 3.90 Away 6.50 BTTS 1.95 O2.5 1.85

Kick-off 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC

Sao Paulo v Internacional

Brazil · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 00:00 UTC

Sao Paulo to win · 49% model probability · odds 1.91 · edge -3.4 pts

The model makes Sao Paulo to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 49% likelihood. Form lines of WLDDW and LDLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 49% O2.5 44%

Odds Home 1.91 Draw 3.30 Away 3.80 BTTS 1.95 O2.5 2.10

Kick-off 2026-09-20 00:30 UTC

Minnesota United FC v Los Angeles Galaxy

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 00:30 UTC

Minnesota United FC to win · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes Minnesota United FC to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 63% likelihood. Form lines of DLDDD and LDWLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 68%

Odds Home 1.50 Draw 4.33 Away 5.50 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.40

Houston Dynamo v FC Cincinnati

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 00:30 UTC

Houston Dynamo to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -3.6 pts

This one comes down to Houston Dynamo to win. The model puts it at 52%, its highest figure for the match. Houston Dynamo arrive on a DWDWW run while FC Cincinnati have gone LLDDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 3.90 Away 3.80 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.50

Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 00:30 UTC

Philadelphia Union to win · 60% model probability · odds 1.60 · edge -2.5 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Philadelphia Union to win, which it rates at 60%. Form lines of LDLWL and WWLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 69%

Odds Home 4.75 Draw 4.20 Away 1.60 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.40

FC Dallas v Austin

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 00:30 UTC

FC Dallas to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 61% for FC Dallas to win. FC Dallas arrive on a LWLDD run while Austin have gone WWLLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 62%

Odds Home 1.57 Draw 4.10 Away 5.00 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.53

St. Louis City v Toronto FC

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 00:30 UTC

St. Louis City to win · 60% model probability · odds 1.60 · edge -2.5 pts

The model makes St. Louis City to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 60% likelihood. Recent form reads DDWWW for St. Louis City and DLDDL for Toronto FC, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 59% O2.5 62%

Odds Home 1.60 Draw 4.10 Away 5.25 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.50

Kick-off 2026-09-20 01:30 UTC

Colorado Rapids v Seattle Sounders

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 01:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 58%, its highest figure for the match. Colorado Rapids arrive on a WWWWL run while Seattle Sounders have gone LLLLD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 55%

Odds Home 1.91 Draw 3.60 Away 3.50 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.70

Real Salt Lake v Vancouver Whitecaps

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 01:30 UTC

Vancouver Whitecaps to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -3.8 pts

The model makes Vancouver Whitecaps to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 54% likelihood. Real Salt Lake arrive on a LWWWL run while Vancouver Whitecaps have gone WWDLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 4.10 Draw 3.90 Away 1.73 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.50

Nashville SC v Chicago Fire

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 01:30 UTC

Nashville SC to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -2.8 pts

This one comes down to Nashville SC to win. The model puts it at 55%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of WWWWW and DWLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 63% O2.5 64%

Odds Home 1.73 Draw 4.00 Away 4.10 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.50

Kick-off 2026-09-20 02:30 UTC

Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 02:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -5.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 66% for both teams to score. Form lines of LWWWD and WLLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 66% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 1.90 Draw 3.90 Away 3.60 BTTS 1.40 O2.5 1.44

Kick-off 2026-09-20 10:15 UTC

Feyenoord v Utrecht

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sun 20 Sep, 10:15 UTC

Feyenoord to win · 74% model probability · odds 1.28 · edge -4.1 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Feyenoord to win, which it rates at 74%. Feyenoord arrive on a DDWDW run while Utrecht have gone DLDLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 70%

Odds Home 1.28 Draw 5.50 Away 9.00 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.36

Kick-off 2026-09-20 10:30 UTC

Fiorentina v Napoli

Italy · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 10:30 UTC

Napoli to win · 42% model probability · odds 2.20 · edge -3.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 42% for Napoli to win. Fiorentina arrive on a DDDWW run while Napoli have gone WWDDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 49%

Odds Home 3.25 Draw 3.40 Away 2.20 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.91

Kick-off 2026-09-20 11:00 UTC

Celtic v Rangers

Scotland · Premiership Sun 20 Sep, 11:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 64% for both teams to score. Celtic arrive on a WWWWW run while Rangers have gone WDWLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 64% O2.5 62%

Odds Home 2.00 Draw 3.70 Away 3.30 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.53

Wolves v West Brom

England · Championship Sun 20 Sep, 11:00 UTC

Wolves to win · 51% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -6.1 pts

The model makes Wolves to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 51% likelihood. Wolves arrive on a DDDLW run while West Brom have gone WLWDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 50%

Odds Home 1.75 Draw 3.50 Away 4.33 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 1.91

Kick-off 2026-09-20 12:00 UTC

Getafe v Malaga

Spain · La Liga Sun 20 Sep, 12:00 UTC

Getafe to win · 43% model probability · odds 2.10 · edge -4.6 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Getafe to win, which it rates at 43%. Getafe arrive on a WWWLL run while Malaga have gone LLWWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 41% O2.5 33%

Odds Home 2.10 Draw 3.00 Away 3.70 BTTS 2.20 O2.5 2.75

Kick-off 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

AZ Alkmaar v Telstar

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sun 20 Sep, 12:30 UTC

AZ Alkmaar to win · 75% model probability · odds 1.27 · edge -3.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 75% for AZ Alkmaar to win. Recent form reads WDDDW for AZ Alkmaar and WWDLL for Telstar, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 61% O2.5 75%

Odds Home 1.27 Draw 5.75 Away 9.00 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.28

Twente v PSV Eindhoven

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sun 20 Sep, 12:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 74% model probability · odds 1.30 · edge -2.9 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 74%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of WWDWL and WWDWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Eredivisie. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 74% O2.5 74%

Odds Home 2.70 Draw 4.10 Away 2.15 BTTS 1.30 O2.5 1.28

Norwich v Bolton

England · Championship Sun 20 Sep, 12:30 UTC

Norwich to win · 60% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -5.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 60% for Norwich to win. Recent form reads LDWLD for Norwich and DWLLD for Bolton, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 1.53 Draw 4.00 Away 5.50 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.57

Kick-off 2026-09-20 13:00 UTC

Frosinone v Como

Italy · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Como to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Como to win, which it rates at 61%. Form lines of LWWDW and WDWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 62% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 5.50 Draw 4.33 Away 1.53 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.44

Parma v Genoa

Italy · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Genoa to win · 38% model probability · odds 2.40 · edge -3.7 pts

The model makes Genoa to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 38% likelihood. Parma arrive on a LWLWD run while Genoa have gone LLDDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 45% O2.5 37%

Odds Home 3.10 Draw 3.10 Away 2.40 BTTS 2.05 O2.5 2.50

Auxerre v Stade Brestois 29

France · Ligue 1 Sun 20 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Stade Brestois 29 to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.45 · edge -4.8 pts

The model makes Stade Brestois 29 to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 36% likelihood. Form lines of LWWDW and DLLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 49%

Odds Home 2.75 Draw 3.40 Away 2.45 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.91

Bournemouth v Liverpool

England · Premier League Sun 20 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 65%. Recent form reads DWDDD for Bournemouth and DLLWL for Liverpool, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 65% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 3.10 Draw 3.70 Away 2.05 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.50

Leeds v Crystal Palace

England · Premier League Sun 20 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Leeds to win · 50% model probability · odds 1.90 · edge -2.6 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 50% for Leeds to win. Form lines of DWWWD and LDLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premier League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 56% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 1.90 Draw 3.60 Away 3.80 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.80

Manchester City v Sunderland

England · Premier League Sun 20 Sep, 13:00 UTC

Manchester City to win · 75% model probability · odds 1.28 · edge -3.1 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Manchester City to win, which it rates at 75%. Form lines of WLWWW and LWDLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Premier League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 47% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 1.28 Draw 5.00 Away 9.00 BTTS 1.95 O2.5 1.57

Kick-off 2026-09-20 13:30 UTC

Bayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig

Germany · Bundesliga Sun 20 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 70% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -3.5 pts

This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 70%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads DWLWD for Bayer Leverkusen and LLWWL for RB Leipzig, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 70% O2.5 71%

Odds Home 1.90 Draw 4.10 Away 3.40 BTTS 1.36 O2.5 1.36

Kick-off 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Gremio v Palmeiras

Brazil · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 14:00 UTC

Palmeiras to win · 47% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -4.3 pts

This one comes down to Palmeiras to win. The model puts it at 47%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWDLW for Gremio and DLWWW for Palmeiras, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 47%

Odds Home 3.70 Draw 3.40 Away 1.95 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.00

Kick-off 2026-09-20 14:15 UTC

Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid

Spain · La Liga Sun 20 Sep, 14:15 UTC

Real Madrid to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -3.6 pts

The model makes Real Madrid to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 52% likelihood. Form lines of DWWLD and WWLWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in La Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 66% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 3.70 Draw 3.90 Away 1.80 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.44

Kick-off 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Estrela v Academico Viseu

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sun 20 Sep, 14:30 UTC

Estrela to win · 45% model probability · odds 2.05 · edge -3.8 pts

The model makes Estrela to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 45% likelihood. Form lines of WDDWW and WDDDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Primeira Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 49%

Odds Home 2.05 Draw 3.40 Away 3.40 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.95

Vitória SC v Moreirense

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sun 20 Sep, 14:30 UTC

Vitória SC to win · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts

This one comes down to Vitória SC to win. The model puts it at 63%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WLLWW for Vitória SC and WLLLD for Moreirense, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 44% O2.5 47%

Odds Home 1.50 Draw 3.80 Away 7.00 BTTS 2.00 O2.5 2.00

Kick-off 2026-09-20 14:45 UTC

NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sun 20 Sep, 14:45 UTC

NEC Nijmegen to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.80 · edge -0.6 pts

The model makes NEC Nijmegen to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 55% likelihood. Recent form reads LWDDD for NEC Nijmegen and DLDDL for GO Ahead Eagles, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 71% O2.5 73%

Odds Home 1.80 Draw 4.10 Away 3.90 BTTS 1.33 O2.5 1.33

Kick-off 2026-09-20 15:15 UTC

Nice v Lille

France · Ligue 1 Sun 20 Sep, 15:15 UTC

Lille to win · 45% model probability · odds 2.05 · edge -3.8 pts

The model makes Lille to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 45% likelihood. Nice arrive on a DDDDL run while Lille have gone WWWWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 50%

Odds Home 3.50 Draw 3.40 Away 2.05 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.91

Kick-off 2026-09-20 15:30 UTC

Fulham v Manchester United

England · Premier League Sun 20 Sep, 15:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 62% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -4.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 62%. Recent form reads LWLWW for Fulham and LWDWD for Manchester United, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 62% O2.5 60%

Odds Home 3.40 Draw 3.70 Away 1.95 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.57

FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg

Germany · Bundesliga Sun 20 Sep, 15:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 60% for both teams to score. Form lines of WWWWD and LDDLD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Bundesliga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 60% O2.5 58%

Odds Home 2.00 Draw 3.60 Away 3.50 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.62

Kick-off 2026-09-20 16:00 UTC

Juventus v Atalanta

Italy · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 16:00 UTC

Juventus to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 57% for Juventus to win. Juventus arrive on a WLDWW run while Atalanta have gone DWLDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 53% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 1.67 Draw 3.80 Away 4.75 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.80

Kick-off 2026-09-20 16:30 UTC

Deportivo La Coruna v Real Betis

Spain · La Liga Sun 20 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Real Betis to win · 37% model probability · odds 2.45 · edge -3.8 pts

The model makes Real Betis to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 37% likelihood. Form lines of WDLWL and WWLWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in La Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 54% O2.5 48%

Odds Home 2.75 Draw 3.25 Away 2.45 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.00

Villarreal v Levante

Spain · La Liga Sun 20 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Villarreal to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.55 · edge -3.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 61% for Villarreal to win. Form lines of WLWWW and DLLWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in La Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 59% O2.5 63%

Odds Home 1.55 Draw 4.20 Away 5.25 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.53

Kick-off 2026-09-20 17:00 UTC

Estoril v Casa Pia

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sun 20 Sep, 17:00 UTC

Estoril to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -2.8 pts

This one comes down to Estoril to win. The model puts it at 55%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LDLLL for Estoril and LLWLL for Casa Pia, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 51% O2.5 49%

Odds Home 1.73 Draw 3.60 Away 4.75 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 1.95

Santa Clara v SC Braga

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sun 20 Sep, 17:00 UTC

SC Braga to win · 42% model probability · odds 2.15 · edge -4.5 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 42% for SC Braga to win. Form lines of WDWWL and DDLLW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Primeira Liga. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 46% O2.5 39%

Odds Home 3.50 Draw 3.20 Away 2.15 BTTS 2.00 O2.5 2.35

Kick-off 2026-09-20 17:30 UTC

SC Paderborn 07 v 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany · Bundesliga Sun 20 Sep, 17:30 UTC

1899 Hoffenheim to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.65 · edge -4.6 pts

The model makes 1899 Hoffenheim to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 56% likelihood. SC Paderborn 07 arrive on a LWDLW run while 1899 Hoffenheim have gone LWWLW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 66% O2.5 68%

Odds Home 4.50 Draw 4.20 Away 1.65 BTTS 1.44 O2.5 1.44

Kick-off 2026-09-20 18:45 UTC

AC Milan v Lecce

Italy · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 18:45 UTC

AC Milan to win · 76% model probability · odds 1.27 · edge -2.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to AC Milan to win, which it rates at 76%. Recent form reads WLLDL for AC Milan and WWWDL for Lecce, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 42% O2.5 57%

Odds Home 1.27 Draw 5.25 Away 11.00 BTTS 2.20 O2.5 1.67

Marseille v Paris Saint Germain

France · Ligue 1 Sun 20 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Paris Saint Germain to win · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts

This one comes down to Paris Saint Germain to win. The model puts it at 61%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of WWDWL and DDLWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 64% O2.5 69%

Odds Home 5.25 Draw 4.50 Away 1.53 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.40

Kick-off 2026-09-20 19:00 UTC

Corinthians v Fluminense

Brazil · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Corinthians to win · 44% model probability · odds 2.15 · edge -2.5 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Corinthians to win, which it rates at 44%. Recent form reads LLDWW for Corinthians and DDDDL for Fluminense, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 44% O2.5 37%

Odds Home 2.15 Draw 3.10 Away 3.50 BTTS 2.05 O2.5 2.40

Vitoria v Cruzeiro

Brazil · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Cruzeiro to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.45 · edge -4.8 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Cruzeiro to win, which it rates at 36%. Form lines of LWLWW and LWWWD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 52% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 2.75 Draw 3.25 Away 2.45 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.05

Valencia v Real Sociedad

Spain · La Liga Sun 20 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Valencia to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.70 · edge -1 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Valencia to win, which it rates at 36%. Recent form reads LDWDL for Valencia and LLDDL for Real Sociedad, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 55% O2.5 50%

Odds Home 2.70 Draw 3.40 Away 2.50 BTTS 1.70 O2.5 1.91

Kick-off 2026-09-20 19:30 UTC

FC Porto v Benfica

Portugal · Primeira Liga Sun 20 Sep, 19:30 UTC

FC Porto to win · 36% model probability · odds 2.60 · edge -2.5 pts

This one comes down to FC Porto to win. The model puts it at 36%, its highest figure for the match. FC Porto arrive on a WWWWW run while Benfica have gone WWDWD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 51%

Odds Home 2.60 Draw 3.30 Away 2.50 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.85

Kick-off 2026-09-20 21:30 UTC

Flamengo v RB Bragantino

Brazil · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 21:30 UTC

Flamengo to win · 69% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -2.4 pts

The standout number in the model's output is 69% for Flamengo to win. Form lines of WWDWL and LDDWL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 49% O2.5 57%

Odds Home 1.40 Draw 4.50 Away 7.50 BTTS 1.91 O2.5 1.65

Kick-off 2026-09-20 22:30 UTC

Atletico Paranaense v Bahia

Brazil · Serie A Sun 20 Sep, 22:30 UTC

Atletico Paranaense to win · 48% model probability · odds 2.00 · edge -2 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Atletico Paranaense to win, which it rates at 48%. Recent form reads DDWWD for Atletico Paranaense and WDDLD for Bahia, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Model BTTS 51% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 2.00 Draw 3.30 Away 3.75 BTTS 1.91 O2.5 2.05

Kick-off 2026-09-20 23:00 UTC

Inter Miami v San Diego

USA · Major League Soccer Sun 20 Sep, 23:00 UTC

Inter Miami to win · 65% model probability · odds 1.48 · edge -2.6 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Inter Miami to win, which it rates at 65%. Form lines of WWWWL and LDLDL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Major League Soccer. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model BTTS 71% O2.5 78%

Odds Home 1.48 Draw 4.75 Away 5.75 BTTS 1.36 O2.5 1.25

How these selections have performed