AI Football Predictions With a Published Track Record

Last updated 52 minutes ago

Today's Top Model Selections

PSV Eindhoven v Willem II

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 UTC

PSV Eindhoven to win · model probability 90% · odds 1.08

Barcelona v Alaves

Spain · La Liga Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UTC

Barcelona to win · model probability 87% · odds 1.10

Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard

Netherlands · Eredivisie Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Feyenoord to win · model probability 82% · odds 1.17

All of today's predictions · tomorrow · the weekend

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Last 30 Days

Strike rate 56% · ROI -3.3% · 4095 settled selections · full verified record

How the Model Works

The model rates every team from recent results, weighting for opposition quality, home advantage and scoring patterns. From those ratings it estimates goal expectancies for each fixture, converts them into probabilities for every market, then compares each probability with the bookmaker's implied one. A selection is published only when the model's number is higher by a clear margin. The method, its data sources and its known blind spots are described in full on the method page.

Tips by Market

SoccerTips.ai publishes football predictions generated by a statistical model, not by a tipster with a hunch. The model, built on the Betminer engine, prices thousands of fixtures a week from team strength ratings, scoring rates and market data. When its probability for an outcome is meaningfully higher than the price implied by the bookmakers, the fixture appears here as a selection. Football or soccer, whichever you call it — the model prices the same game the same way, and these are its AI soccer predictions as much as its football ones.

Two things separate this site from most prediction sites. First, every prediction is archived the moment its match kicks off, and the archive cannot be edited afterwards. Second, we publish the outcome of every selection, settled against the odds that were actually available at publication, wins and losses alike. The full record sits on the model results page, downloadable as a CSV, and we expect to be held to it.

I built the model and I run the site. My background is a computing degree specialising in data systems and algorithms, followed by eighteen years in digital marketing and analytics. I am not a professional gambler and the model does not win every week. Nothing does. What it does is estimate probabilities honestly, and over a long enough sample that is what separates value from noise.

Use the predictions pages for today, tomorrow and the weekend. Each market page, from correct score to both teams to score, shows the model's current selections beside that market's actual strike rate over the past ninety days. The acca generator builds accumulators from model picks to your choice of legs and odds range, and the glossary explains every market in plain English before you risk a penny on it.

Football is the only sport this model prices, but it is not the only sport we cover. Horse racing works to the same daily rhythm as football tipping — one standout selection, published before the off and judged on its record — and our sister site Today Horse Racing Tips carries exactly that: a daily nap of the day, alongside tips for the day's full racecard. Same philosophy, different sport: publish the pick, show the record, let the results speak.

Betting involves risk and no prediction, however well modelled, is certain. Set a budget, stick to it, and treat any bet as entertainment with a cost rather than a source of income. If it stops being fun, stop.

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