Pafos v HNK Hajduk Split
Over 1.5 goals · model probability 86% · odds 1.28 · edge +7.9 pts
AI Football Predictions With a Published Track Record
Last updated 18 minutes ago
Today's Top Model Selections
Anderlecht v Hammarby FF
Both teams to score · model probability 84% · odds 1.67 · edge +24.1 pts
FC Midtjylland v Beşiktaş
Both teams to score · model probability 76% · odds 1.57 · edge +12.3 pts
How the Model Works
The model rates every team from recent results, weighting for opposition quality, home advantage and scoring patterns. From those ratings it estimates goal expectancies for each fixture, converts them into probabilities for every market, then compares each probability with the bookmaker's implied one. A selection is published only when the model's number is higher by a clear margin. The method, its data sources and its known blind spots are described in full on the method page.
Tips by Market
SoccerTips.ai publishes football predictions generated by a statistical model, not by a tipster with a hunch. The model, built on the Betminer engine, prices thousands of fixtures a week from team strength ratings, scoring rates and market data. When its probability for an outcome is meaningfully higher than the price implied by the bookmakers, the fixture appears here as a selection.
Two things separate this site from most prediction sites. First, every prediction is archived the moment its match kicks off, and the archive cannot be edited afterwards. Second, we publish the outcome of every selection, settled against the odds that were actually available at publication, wins and losses alike. The full record sits on the model results page, downloadable as a CSV, and we expect to be held to it.
I built the model and I run the site. My background is a computing degree specialising in data systems and algorithms, followed by eighteen years in digital marketing and analytics. I am not a professional gambler and the model does not win every week. Nothing does. What it does is estimate probabilities honestly, and over a long enough sample that is what separates value from noise.
Use the predictions pages for today, tomorrow and the weekend. Each market page, from correct score to both teams to score, shows the model's current selections beside that market's actual strike rate over the past ninety days. The acca generator builds accumulators from model picks to your choice of legs and odds range, and the glossary explains every market in plain English before you risk a penny on it.
Betting involves risk and no prediction, however well modelled, is certain. Set a budget, stick to it, and treat any bet as entertainment with a cost rather than a source of income. If it stops being fun, stop.