Last updated 53 minutes ago
Strike rate 62.8% from 1147 selections, ROI -0.5% to level stakes. Full record for this market.
Charlotte
v
Orlando City SC
Both teams to score · 75% model probability · odds 1.30 · edge -1.9 pts
Missing — Charlotte: T. Ream (questionable), A. Saint-Maximin (questionable), B. Bronico (questionable) +4 more · Orlando City SC: G. Dorsey (questionable), R. Jansson (missing fixture), D. Brekalo (missing fixture) +1 more
Bayer Leverkusen
v
VfB Stuttgart
Both teams to score · 72% model probability · odds 1.33 · edge -3.2 pts
Missing — Bayer Leverkusen: M. Diaby (missing fixture), M. Terrier (missing fixture), G. Doué (missing fixture) +4 more · VfB Stuttgart: D. Zagadou (missing fixture), J. Vagnoman (missing fixture), A. Stiller (missing fixture) +3 more
Heerenveen
v
NEC Nijmegen
Both teams to score · 70% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -3.5 pts
Missing — Heerenveen: L. Smans (questionable) · NEC Nijmegen: D. Tadić (missing fixture), P. Sandler (missing fixture), D. Geiger (missing fixture) +3 more
Werder Bremen
v
1899 Hoffenheim
Both teams to score · 69% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -4.5 pts
Missing — Werder Bremen: N. Stark (missing fixture), O. Deman (questionable), J. Stage (missing fixture) +7 more · 1899 Hoffenheim: A. Prass (missing fixture), Bernardo (questionable), P. Wimmer (missing fixture) +4 more
Peterborough
v
Luton
Both teams to score · 69% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -2.4 pts
St. Louis City
v
San Diego
Both teams to score · 69% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -2.4 pts
Missing — St. Louis City: R. Bürki (missing fixture), A. Mățan (missing fixture), Célio Pompeu (missing fixture) · San Diego: E. Achouri (missing fixture)
FC Augsburg
v
SC Freiburg
Both teams to score · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — FC Augsburg: S. Mounié (missing fixture), A. Claude-Maurice (questionable), C. Brackelmann (missing fixture) +2 more · SC Freiburg: P. Treu (questionable), J. Makengo (questionable), D. Scherhant (questionable) +1 more
FC Cincinnati
v
Philadelphia Union
Both teams to score · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — FC Cincinnati: T. Malacia (questionable), M. Robinson (missing fixture), P. Bucha (questionable) +2 more · Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno (missing fixture), M. Iloski (missing fixture), D. Jean-Jacques (missing fixture) +1 more
Ajax
v
AZ Alkmaar
Both teams to score · 68% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -1.4 pts
Missing — Ajax: K. Dolberg (missing fixture), Caio Henrique (missing fixture), S. Berghuis (questionable) +3 more · AZ Alkmaar: J. Zoet (missing fixture), J. Hornkamp (missing fixture), S. Resink (missing fixture) +3 more
Cambuur
v
GO Ahead Eagles
Both teams to score · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Cambuur: J. Amofa (missing fixture), B. van Duijl (questionable), W. Asselman (missing fixture) +1 more · GO Ahead Eagles: Pim Saathof (missing fixture)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
v
SC Paderborn 07
Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Borussia Mönchengladbach: F. Honorat (missing fixture), T. Kleindienst (missing fixture), K. Diks (missing fixture) +5 more · SC Paderborn 07: S. Michel (questionable), S. Klaas (missing fixture), O. Batista Meier (missing fixture) +4 more
FC Schalke 04
v
RB Leipzig
Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — FC Schalke 04: M. Sylla (missing fixture), M. Wöber (missing fixture), J. Bachmann (missing fixture) +5 more · RB Leipzig: C. Nkunku (questionable), M. Estève (missing fixture), A. Ouédraogo (missing fixture) +1 more
Manchester City
v
Brighton
Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Manchester City: A. Semenyo (missing fixture), Matheus Nunes (questionable) · Brighton: F. Kadıoğlu (questionable), P. Struijk (missing fixture), K. Mitoma (missing fixture) +5 more
Wealdstone
v
Southend
Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Boston United
v
Scunthorpe
Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Sporting Kansas City
v
FC Dallas
Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong (questionable), L. Johnsen (questionable), O. Blorian (missing fixture) +4 more · FC Dallas: S. Moore (missing fixture), Geovane (questionable), N. Norris (missing fixture) +1 more
San Jose Earthquakes
v
Real Salt Lake
Both teams to score · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — San Jose Earthquakes: T. Werner (missing fixture), J. Gónzalez (questionable), D. Jones (missing fixture) +2 more · Real Salt Lake: L. Engel (questionable), M. Guilavogui (missing fixture), D. Luna (missing fixture) +3 more
Plymouth
v
Reading
Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts
Tamworth
v
Woking
Both teams to score · 65% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -4.4 pts
Grimsby
v
York
Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts
Barnsley
v
Oxford United
Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts
Bayern München
v
Borussia Dortmund
Both teams to score · 64% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -5.4 pts
Missing — Bayern München: M. Neuer (missing fixture), L. Díaz (missing fixture), J. Musiala (missing fixture) +1 more · Borussia Dortmund: E. Can (missing fixture), R. Bensebaïni (questionable), G. Konstantelias (missing fixture) +3 more
Wolves
v
Cardiff
Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts
Missing — Wolves: B. Traoré (questionable), R. Jiménez (missing fixture), G. Konan (missing fixture) +4 more · Cardiff: C. Chambers (missing fixture), C. Robinson (questionable), K. Bielik (questionable) +3 more
Crewe
v
Barnet
Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts
Altrincham
v
Carlisle
Both teams to score · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts
Forest Green
v
Harrogate Town
Both teams to score · 62% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -3.4 pts
Dundee Utd
v
Heart Of Midlothian
Both teams to score · 62% model probability
Los Angeles Galaxy
v
Austin
Both teams to score · 62% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Reus (questionable), Riqui Puig (missing fixture), H. Lozano (questionable) +3 more · Austin: J. Bell (questionable), Ervin Torres (questionable), Chris Applewhite (questionable)
Chelsea
v
Manchester United
Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts
Missing — Chelsea: João Pedro (missing fixture), R. James (missing fixture), E. Martínez (missing fixture) +6 more · Manchester United: L. Shaw (missing fixture), M. Rashford (questionable), Bruno Fernandes (questionable) +4 more
FC Halifax Town
v
Yeovil Town
Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
Kilmarnock
v
ST Johnstone
Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
Brentford
v
Nottingham Forest
Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
Missing — Brentford: R. Henry (missing fixture), J. Dasilva (questionable), Fábio Carvalho (missing fixture) +3 more · Nottingham Forest: N. Domínguez (questionable), Igor Jesus (missing fixture), D. Ndoye (missing fixture) +2 more
Worthing
v
Sutton Utd
Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts
Levante
v
Atletico Madrid
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -1.7 pts
Missing — Levante: Dela (questionable), E. Bardeli (missing fixture) · Atletico Madrid: Koke (missing fixture), Cristian Romero (questionable), Johnny Cardoso (missing fixture)
Rangers
v
Aberdeen
Both teams to score · 60% model probability
Southampton
v
QPR
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -5.4 pts
Missing — Southampton: C. Larin (questionable), F. Downes (questionable) · QPR: N. Madsen (missing fixture), I. Chair (missing fixture), R. Burrell (missing fixture) +3 more
Colchester
v
Walsall
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -1.7 pts
Oldham
v
Crawley Town
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
Swindon Town
v
Rotherham
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
Milton Keynes Dons
v
Doncaster
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
Solihull Moors
v
Kidderminster Harriers
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
AC Milan
v
Inter
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -5.4 pts
Missing — AC Milan: A. Rabiot (questionable), A. Saelemaekers (missing fixture), S. Chukwueze (missing fixture) +5 more · Inter: Lautaro Martínez (missing fixture), C. Jones (missing fixture), J. Stones (missing fixture) +2 more
Aston Villa
v
Fulham
Both teams to score · 60% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -1.7 pts
Missing — Aston Villa: A. Wan-Bissaka (missing fixture), M. Ruggeri (missing fixture), A. Onana (missing fixture) · Fulham: E. Smith Rowe (questionable), R. Sessegnon (missing fixture), D. Affengruber (questionable)
Motherwell
v
ST Mirren
Both teams to score · 59% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -4.7 pts
Hull City
v
Ipswich
Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
Missing — Hull City: J. Butland (questionable), M. Targett (missing fixture), E. Matazo (missing fixture) +5 more · Ipswich: S. Lukić (questionable), J. Taylor (missing fixture)
Bolton
v
Bristol City
Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts
Missing — Bolton: R. Hardie (missing fixture), E. Erhahon (missing fixture), J. McAtee (missing fixture) +2 more · Bristol City: E. Adebayo (questionable), R. Dickie (questionable), L. Tolaj (questionable) +1 more
Tranmere
v
Cheltenham
Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
Aldershot Town
v
Gateshead
Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
Columbus Crew
v
DC United
Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts
Missing — Columbus Crew: E. Bailly (questionable), W. Abou Ali (missing fixture), André Gomes (questionable) +3 more · DC United: L. Munteanu (missing fixture), Gabriel Segal (questionable), T. Baribo (questionable) +1 more
Estac Troyes
v
Le Mans
Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
Missing — Estac Troyes: I. Boura (questionable), Y. Titi (questionable), A. Ouzenadji (missing fixture) +1 more · Le Mans: D. Sidibé (missing fixture), Y. Larouci (questionable), H. Voyer (questionable) +2 more
Bradford
v
Huddersfield
Both teams to score · 57% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -1.8 pts
Udinese
v
AS Roma
Both teams to score · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts
Missing — Udinese: D. Alaba (missing fixture), O. Solet (questionable), V. Bayo (missing fixture) +3 more · AS Roma: M. Svilar (missing fixture), L. Pellegrini (missing fixture), P. Dybala (missing fixture) +2 more
Tottenham
v
Crystal Palace
Both teams to score · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts
Missing — Tottenham: R. Bentancur (missing fixture), J. Maddison (questionable), T. Adarabioyo (missing fixture) +6 more · Crystal Palace: J. Strand Larsen (questionable), I. Sarr (missing fixture), T. Tomiyasu (missing fixture) +2 more
Lincoln
v
Birmingham
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -1.8 pts
Missing — Lincoln: T. Darikwa (missing fixture), E. Wheatley (missing fixture), M. Melia (missing fixture) · Birmingham: Paik Seung-Ho (missing fixture), Marc Leonard (missing fixture), A. Priske (questionable)
Norwich
v
Watford
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts
Missing — Norwich: P. Mattsson (questionable), Mirko Topić (questionable), M. Touré (missing fixture) +3 more · Watford: M. Antonio (missing fixture), K. Baah (missing fixture), S. Coulibaly (missing fixture) +2 more
Leyton Orient
v
Cambridge United
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -2.8 pts
Bournemouth
v
Leeds
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -2.8 pts
Missing — Bournemouth: J. Araujo (missing fixture), A. Scott (missing fixture), A. Tóth (missing fixture) · Leeds: N. Elvedi (questionable), J. Rodon (missing fixture), D. James (questionable) +2 more
Coventry
v
Sunderland
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -1.1 pts
Missing — Coventry: H. Wright (missing fixture), L. Woolfenden (missing fixture), J. Eccles (missing fixture) +2 more · Sunderland: N. Mukiele (questionable), D. Ballard (missing fixture), W. Isidor (questionable) +2 more
West Ham
v
West Brom
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts
Missing — West Ham: J. Veltman (questionable), K. Mavropanos (missing fixture), K. Lamadrid (questionable) · West Brom: M. Johnston (missing fixture), Tobias Christopher Collyer (missing fixture), N. Galves (missing fixture)
Fleetwood Town
v
Bristol Rovers
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -5.7 pts
Leicester
v
Stevenage
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -2.8 pts
Boreham Wood
v
Hartlepool
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -2.8 pts
PSV Eindhoven
v
Willem II
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts
Missing — PSV Eindhoven: A. Pléa (missing fixture), S. Lammers (questionable), J. Schouten (missing fixture) +3 more · Willem II: J. Hoogma (missing fixture), J. Slory (missing fixture), Amine Lachkar (missing fixture)
New York City FC
v
CF Montreal
Both teams to score · 56% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -1.1 pts
Missing — New York City FC: M. Moralez (missing fixture), A. Martínez (questionable), K. Trewin (missing fixture) +2 more · CF Montreal: P. Owusu (questionable), B. Ceballos (missing fixture), J. Neal (questionable) +2 more
Hibernian
v
Dundee
Both teams to score · 55% model probability
Mansfield Town
v
Notts County
Both teams to score · 55% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -3.8 pts
Feyenoord
v
Fortuna Sittard
Both teams to score · 55% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -2.1 pts
Missing — Feyenoord: R. Nelson (missing fixture), B. Nieuwkoop (missing fixture), J. St. Juste (missing fixture) +4 more · Fortuna Sittard: Iván Márquez (questionable), Ramazan Bayram (missing fixture)
BTTS is the market bookmakers advertise hardest, and that alone should make you careful. It stays alive for ninety minutes whatever the score, it suits the way most people watch football, and the margins built into its prices are often wider than on the match odds. None of that makes it a bad market. It makes it a market where the difference between a fair price and a poor one is larger than usual, and where a model earns its keep.
Our BTTS probability is not a guess about whether a game will be open. It is read directly off the scoreline grid: the model estimates goals for each side from attack and defence ratings, builds the probability of every final score, and sums every scoreline where neither team finishes nil. That construction matters, because both teams scoring depends on four things at once, both attacks and both defences, and shortcuts that look at only one side of the fixture consistently misprice it. A team that scores freely but wins 3-0 every week is a BTTS trap, not a BTTS pick.
Selections appear here when the model's yes probability clears our threshold, typically corresponding to fixtures where both sides score in well over half of the simulated outcomes. The strongest spots share a shape: two sides that create chances at a healthy rate, neither defence keeping regular clean sheets, and a match state unlikely to turn one-way early. Derbies and end-of-season fixtures with nothing at stake often qualify. Matches involving a deep-sitting away side that rarely scores on the road almost never do, however leaky the home defence looks.
Judge this page the way we judge ourselves, on the full settled BTTS record rather than a hot fortnight. Every selection settles against the odds that were available when it was published, wins and losses in the same table.
New to the market? The glossary covers what BTTS means and how it settles, own goals and all. BTTS also converses naturally with the goals lines: a fixture strong for both teams to score is often strong for over 2.5 goals too, and where the two markets disagree about a match is usually the most instructive number on the page.
They are selections for this market produced by a statistical model rather than a tipster. The model estimates a probability for every fixture it prices, and a selection appears here when that probability clears the market threshold. The market itself is explained in plain English in our glossary.
A model rates every team from recent results, converts those ratings into goal expectancies for each fixture, and turns the expectancies into probabilities for this market. Selections are archived at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Over its full recorded history this market has a 62.7% strike rate from 1152 settled selections, at -0.6% ROI to level stakes. Every settled selection is published in the results archive, including the losing runs.
10 ranked correct score picks + the full model boards, every morning. Go Premium — from $1.49/wk 95 founder places left