Today's AI Football Predictions

Last updated 15 minutes ago

Every selection below comes from the model rather than a person. It prices each fixture across the fourteen leagues we track, and the strongest angle per match is shown with three numbers: the model's probability, the current odds, and the edge, which is the gap between the two expressed in percentage points. A positive edge means the model rates the outcome more likely than the price implies. That is the whole method, and its complete record, wins and losses alike, is on the results page. Probabilities are estimates, not promises, and a 70% chance still fails three times in ten.

Kick-off 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Lyon v Auxerre

France · Ligue 1 Fri 4 Sep, 17:00 UTC

Lyon to win · 68% model probability · odds 1.42 · edge -2.4 pts

This one comes down to Lyon to win. The model puts it at 68%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of DLWWW and LWLDD tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Ligue 1. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Lyon: Keito Nakamura (missing fixture), J. Duranville (missing fixture), Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez (missing fixture) +5 more · Auxerre: A. Tuanzebe (missing fixture), A. Dioussé (missing fixture), F. Sierralta (missing fixture) +4 more

Model Goals 3.2 Corners 10.0 (5.1H · 4.9A) Cards 3.8 BTTS 54% O2.5 62%

Odds Home 1.42 Draw 4.75 Away 7.00 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.53

More Lyon to win tips · Ligue 1 predictions

Kick-off 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle

Netherlands · Eredivisie Fri 4 Sep, 18:00 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam to win · 52% model probability · odds 1.85 · edge -2.1 pts

This one comes down to Sparta Rotterdam to win. The model puts it at 52%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads DLLDL for Sparta Rotterdam and WLLLD for PEC Zwolle, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Sparta Rotterdam: Robin van Cruijsen (questionable) · PEC Zwolle: Y. Namli (missing fixture), J. Burger (missing fixture)

Model Goals 3.2 Corners 8.4 (4.7H · 3.7A) Cards 3.4 BTTS 62% O2.5 62%

Odds Home 1.85 Draw 3.70 Away 4.00 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.53

More Sparta Rotterdam to win tips · Eredivisie predictions

Kick-off 2026-09-04 18:30 UTC

VfB Stuttgart v 1. FC Köln

Germany · Bundesliga Fri 4 Sep, 18:30 UTC

VfB Stuttgart to win · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts

The model makes VfB Stuttgart to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 66% likelihood. Recent form reads WDWLW for VfB Stuttgart and LDDDD for 1. FC Köln, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — VfB Stuttgart: D. Zagadou (missing fixture), C. Führich (questionable), N. Nartey (missing fixture) +7 more · 1. FC Köln: L. Waldschmidt (missing fixture), Timo Hübers (missing fixture), T. Dallinga (questionable) +2 more

Model Goals 3.8 Corners 10.7 (5.3H · 5.4A) Cards 4.1 BTTS 65% O2.5 73%

Odds Home 1.44 Draw 5.00 Away 5.50 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.33

More VfB Stuttgart to win tips · Bundesliga predictions

Kick-off 2026-09-04 18:45 UTC

Genoa v Como

Italy · Serie A Fri 4 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Como to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.75 · edge -3.1 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Como to win, which it rates at 54%. Form lines of LLLWL and WDWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in Serie A. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Missing — Genoa: L. Venturino (missing fixture) · Como: M. Kean (questionable), J. Addai (missing fixture)

Model Goals 2.5 Corners 8.0 (3.7H · 4.3A) Cards 4.2 BTTS 48% O2.5 46%

Odds Home 5.25 Draw 3.40 Away 1.75 BTTS 1.91 O2.5 2.00

More Como to win tips · Serie A predictions

Altrincham v Eastleigh

England · National League Fri 4 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Altrincham to win · 48% model probability · odds 1.95 · edge -3.3 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to Altrincham to win, which it rates at 48%. Form lines of WLWLW and WLLLL tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in National League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.

Model Goals 2.8 BTTS 57% O2.5 54%

Odds Home 1.95 Draw 3.50 Away 3.30 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.75

More Altrincham to win tips · National League predictions

Kick-off 2026-09-04 19:00 UTC

Ipswich v Liverpool

England · Premier League Fri 4 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Liverpool to win · 59% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -7.7 pts

This one comes down to Liverpool to win. The model puts it at 59%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWDWD for Ipswich and DLLWL for Liverpool, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Ipswich: Florentino (questionable), J. Taylor (missing fixture), A. Matusiwa (missing fixture) +1 more · Liverpool: J. Gomez (missing fixture), F. Chiesa (missing fixture), B. Barcola (missing fixture) +4 more

Model Goals 3.4 Corners 11.0 (4.8H · 6.2A) Cards 3.9 BTTS 63% O2.5 66%

Odds Home 5.25 Draw 4.75 Away 1.50 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.44

More Liverpool to win tips · Premier League predictions

Real Betis v Real Madrid

Spain · La Liga Fri 4 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Real Madrid to win · 64% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -5.4 pts ▼ Steaming 12.7%

The standout number in the model's output is 64% for Real Madrid to win. Recent form reads WWWWD for Real Betis and WWLWD for Real Madrid, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — Real Betis: Dani Ceballos (missing fixture), G. Lo Celso (missing fixture), Aitor Ruibal (missing fixture) +5 more · Real Madrid: Éder Militão (missing fixture), F. Mendy (missing fixture), A. Tchouaméni (missing fixture) +4 more

Model Goals 3.6 Corners 10.8 (4.9H · 5.9A) Cards 4.2 BTTS 64% O2.5 70%

Odds Home 6.00 Draw 5.00 Away 1.44 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.36

More Real Madrid to win tips · La Liga predictions

Kick-off 2026-09-04 19:05 UTC

Paris Saint Germain v Monaco

France · Ligue 1 Fri 4 Sep, 19:05 UTC

Paris Saint Germain to win · 72% model probability · odds 1.33 · edge -3.2 pts

The model makes Paris Saint Germain to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 72% likelihood. Paris Saint Germain arrive on a DWDWW run while Monaco have gone WLWDL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Missing — Paris Saint Germain: L. Digne (missing fixture), Nuno Mendes (missing fixture), D. Doué (questionable) · Monaco: Takumi Minamino (missing fixture), Mohammed Salisu (missing fixture), Ansu Fati (missing fixture) +2 more

Model Goals 3.7 Corners 10.9 (6.0H · 4.9A) Cards 3.6 BTTS 59% O2.5 71%

Odds Home 1.33 Draw 5.75 Away 7.00 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.36

More Paris Saint Germain to win tips · Ligue 1 predictions

Kick-off 2026-09-04 19:15 UTC

FC Porto v Moreirense

Portugal · Primeira Liga Fri 4 Sep, 19:15 UTC

FC Porto to win · 86% model probability · odds 1.12 · edge -3.3 pts

The model makes FC Porto to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 86% likelihood. FC Porto arrive on a WWWWW run while Moreirense have gone WLLLD, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.

Model Goals 3.0 Corners 9.1 (5.6H · 3.5A) Cards 5.1 BTTS 28% O2.5 59%

Odds Home 1.12 Draw 7.00 Away 21.00 BTTS 2.75 O2.5 1.60

More FC Porto to win tips · Primeira Liga predictions

Kick-off 2026-09-04 23:30 UTC

New York City FC v Nashville SC

USA · Major League Soccer Fri 4 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts

Of every market it prices for this fixture, the model is most drawn to both teams to score, which it rates at 58%. Recent form reads LDWWL for New York City FC and WDWDW for Nashville SC, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.

Missing — New York City FC: H. Wolf (missing fixture), A. O'Neill (missing fixture), Thiago Martins (questionable) +7 more · Nashville SC: W. Madrigal (missing fixture), Chris Applewhite (questionable)

Model Goals 2.8 Corners 9.2 (4.6H · 4.7A) Cards 4.2 BTTS 58% O2.5 53%

Odds Home 2.90 Draw 3.50 Away 2.30 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.80

More Both teams to score tips

How these selections have performed