Rayo Vallecano
v
Espanyol
Correct score 1-1
Correct Score Tips
Last updated 36 minutes ago
Last 90 Days
Strike rate 10.7% from 921 selections, ROI +% to level stakes. Full record for this market.
Today's Selections
Ajax
v
Willem II
Correct score 3-0
Missing — Ajax: D. Blind (missing fixture), S. Adingra (missing fixture), A. Bouwman (missing fixture) · Willem II: T. Didillon (missing fixture), J. Hoogma (missing fixture), V. van Crooij (missing fixture) +4 more
Alaves
v
Valencia
Correct score 1-0
Missing — Alaves: F. Garcés (missing fixture), A. Manas (missing fixture), Mikel Rodríguez (missing fixture) · Valencia: M. Diakhaby (missing fixture), G. Rodríguez (missing fixture), Sergi Canós (missing fixture) +6 more
Falkirk
v
Heart Of Midlothian
Correct score 1-1
Hibernian
v
Kilmarnock
Correct score 2-0
Motherwell
v
Aberdeen
Correct score 1-1
Bristol City
v
Lincoln
Correct score 1-1
Missing — Bristol City: Luke McNally (missing fixture) · Lincoln: T. Hamer (questionable), T. Darikwa (missing fixture), M. Melia (missing fixture)
Middlesbrough
v
Millwall
Correct score 2-0
Missing — Millwall: C. De Norre (missing fixture), Massimo Luongo (questionable), A. Doughty (missing fixture) +7 more
Aldershot Town
v
Yeovil Town
Correct score 1-1
Boston United
v
Woking
Correct score 1-1
Carlisle
v
Forest Green
Correct score 1-1
Harrogate Town
v
AFC Fylde
Correct score 1-1
Solihull Moors
v
Barrow
Correct score 1-1
Southend
v
Tamworth
Correct score 2-1
Sutton Utd
v
Eastleigh
Correct score 1-1
Wealdstone
v
FC Halifax Town
Correct score 1-1
Worthing
v
AFC Hornchurch
Correct score 1-1
Elche
v
Real Madrid
Correct score 0-2
Missing — Elche: Yago Alonso (missing fixture) · Real Madrid: Éder Militão (missing fixture), F. Mendy (missing fixture), Rodrygo (missing fixture)
How our correct score predictions work
Predicting the exact final score is the hardest mainstream bet in football, and any site that pretends otherwise is selling you something. Our approach is to be honest about the difficulty and precise about the numbers. The model estimates how many goals each side should score, builds a probability for every plausible scoreline from those expectancies, and publishes the most likely one for each fixture. Even a strong pick usually carries a probability between 8% and 14%, which is exactly why the odds are long.
That honesty is also where the value lives. Because correct score prices are set across dozens of scorelines, bookmakers stretch their margins across the whole grid, and individual scorelines drift out of line more often than in two-way markets. When the model's probability for a scoreline beats the price's implied probability by a clear margin, the pick has positive expected value even though it will lose most weeks. Correct score betting rewards patience and level stakes, and punishes anyone chasing last week's near miss.
A few patterns worth knowing. Low-scoring lines such as 1-0 and 1-1 are the most common results in most leagues, but they are also the most heavily backed, so the price is rarely generous. Value appears more often at the edges: a 2-2 in a match where both attacks are underrated, a 0-2 where the away side's strength has not reached the market. Home wins by a single goal are the most frequent family of results in almost every division we track. And matches between mismatched sides produce a wider spread of scorelines than instinct suggests, which is why we also publish the model's full distribution in the correct score predictor.
If you are searching for a certainty, we publish none, because none exists. Sites offering fixed or assured correct scores are marketing to hope. What we publish instead is a probability for every scoreline, the odds available when the pick went live, and a settled record of how those picks have performed, losses included. The glossary explains how related markets settle, check the scoreline pages for 3-0, 2-2 and 0-2, and treat every number here as an estimate to weigh, not a promise to bank on.
Popular Scorelines
Three scorelines get dedicated pages: 3-0, 2-2 and 0-2.
2-1 Correct Score
Historical frequency for 2-1 appears here once the current season's data is loaded. Try the correct score predictor.
1-0 Correct Score
Historical frequency for 1-0 appears here once the current season's data is loaded. Try the correct score predictor.
1-1 Correct Score
Historical frequency for 1-1 appears here once the current season's data is loaded. Try the correct score predictor.
2-0 Correct Score
Historical frequency for 2-0 appears here once the current season's data is loaded. Try the correct score predictor.
0-1 Correct Score
Historical frequency for 0-1 appears here once the current season's data is loaded. Try the correct score predictor.
1-2 Correct Score
Historical frequency for 1-2 appears here once the current season's data is loaded. Try the correct score predictor.
0-0 Correct Score
Historical frequency for 0-0 appears here once the current season's data is loaded. Try the correct score predictor.
Recent Results for This Market
- Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna — 0-0 : lost (1-1)
- Arouca v Santa Clara — 1-1 : lost (1-2)
- Benfica v GIL Vicente — 2-0 : lost (3-1)
- PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam — 3-0 : lost (4-1)
- Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint Germain — 0-2 : lost (0-1)
- Sassuolo v Juventus — 1-1 : lost (3-2)
- Mirassol v Vitoria — 1-1 : lost (2-2)
- Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid — 1-1 : lost (0-3)
- Famalicao v Sporting CP — 0-2 : lost (1-1)
- Flamengo v Corinthians — 2-0 : lost (2-1)
Frequently Asked Questions
What are correct score tips?
They are selections for this market produced by a statistical model rather than a tipster. The model estimates a probability for every fixture it prices, and a selection appears here when that probability clears the market threshold. The market itself is explained in plain English in our glossary.
How are these tips generated?
A model rates every team from recent results, converts those ratings into goal expectancies for each fixture, and turns the expectancies into probabilities for this market. Selections are archived at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
How has this market performed?
Over its full recorded history this market has a 10.7% strike rate from 921 settled selections, at -% ROI to level stakes. Every settled selection is published in the results archive, including the losing runs.