Last updated 56 minutes ago
Strike rate 65.9% from 1057 selections, ROI +0.8% to level stakes. Full record for this market.
PSV Eindhoven
v
Willem II
Over 2.5 goals · 86% model probability · odds 1.12 · edge -3.3 pts
Missing — PSV Eindhoven: A. Pléa (missing fixture), S. Lammers (questionable), J. Schouten (missing fixture) +3 more · Willem II: J. Hoogma (missing fixture), J. Slory (missing fixture), Amine Lachkar (missing fixture)
Barcelona
v
Alaves
Over 2.5 goals · 79% model probability · odds 1.22 · edge -3 pts
Missing — Barcelona: Eric García (questionable), J. Koundé (questionable), Dani Olmo (missing fixture) +3 more · Alaves: F. Garcés (missing fixture), Mikel Rodríguez (missing fixture)
Charlotte
v
Orlando City SC
Over 2.5 goals · 78% model probability · odds 1.25 · edge -2 pts
Missing — Charlotte: T. Ream (questionable), A. Saint-Maximin (questionable), B. Bronico (questionable) +4 more · Orlando City SC: G. Dorsey (questionable), R. Jansson (missing fixture), D. Brekalo (missing fixture) +1 more
Feyenoord
v
Fortuna Sittard
Over 2.5 goals · 77% model probability · odds 1.25 · edge -3 pts
Missing — Feyenoord: R. Nelson (missing fixture), B. Nieuwkoop (missing fixture), J. St. Juste (missing fixture) +4 more · Fortuna Sittard: Iván Márquez (questionable), Ramazan Bayram (missing fixture)
Bayern München
v
Borussia Dortmund
Over 2.5 goals · 76% model probability · odds 1.28 · edge -2.1 pts
Missing — Bayern München: M. Neuer (missing fixture), L. Díaz (missing fixture), J. Musiala (missing fixture) +1 more · Borussia Dortmund: E. Can (missing fixture), R. Bensebaïni (questionable), G. Konstantelias (missing fixture) +3 more
Bayer Leverkusen
v
VfB Stuttgart
Over 2.5 goals · 74% model probability · odds 1.30 · edge -2.9 pts
Missing — Bayer Leverkusen: M. Diaby (missing fixture), M. Terrier (missing fixture), G. Doué (missing fixture) +4 more · VfB Stuttgart: D. Zagadou (missing fixture), J. Vagnoman (missing fixture), A. Stiller (missing fixture) +3 more
Boreham Wood
v
Hartlepool
Over 2.5 goals · 71% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -2.5 pts
Heerenveen
v
NEC Nijmegen
Over 2.5 goals · 70% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -3.5 pts
Missing — Heerenveen: L. Smans (questionable) · NEC Nijmegen: D. Tadić (missing fixture), P. Sandler (missing fixture), D. Geiger (missing fixture) +3 more
St. Louis City
v
San Diego
Over 2.5 goals · 70% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -3.5 pts
Missing — St. Louis City: R. Bürki (missing fixture), A. Mățan (missing fixture), Célio Pompeu (missing fixture) · San Diego: E. Achouri (missing fixture)
Ajax
v
AZ Alkmaar
Over 2.5 goals · 70% model probability · odds 1.36 · edge -3.5 pts
Missing — Ajax: K. Dolberg (missing fixture), Caio Henrique (missing fixture), S. Berghuis (questionable) +3 more · AZ Alkmaar: J. Zoet (missing fixture), J. Hornkamp (missing fixture), S. Resink (missing fixture) +3 more
Manchester City
v
Brighton
Over 2.5 goals · 69% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -2.4 pts
Missing — Manchester City: A. Semenyo (missing fixture), Matheus Nunes (questionable) · Brighton: F. Kadıoğlu (questionable), P. Struijk (missing fixture), K. Mitoma (missing fixture) +5 more
Peterborough
v
Luton
Over 2.5 goals · 69% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -2.4 pts
Werder Bremen
v
1899 Hoffenheim
Over 2.5 goals · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Werder Bremen: N. Stark (missing fixture), O. Deman (questionable), J. Stage (missing fixture) +7 more · 1899 Hoffenheim: A. Prass (missing fixture), Bernardo (questionable), P. Wimmer (missing fixture) +4 more
Middlesbrough
v
Charlton
Over 2.5 goals · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Middlesbrough: A. Jones (missing fixture), D. Strelec (questionable), R. Pukštas (questionable) · Charlton: N. Chalobah (questionable), M. Godden (questionable), C. Sichenje (missing fixture) +1 more
Los Angeles Galaxy
v
Austin
Over 2.5 goals · 68% model probability · odds 1.40 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Reus (questionable), Riqui Puig (missing fixture), H. Lozano (questionable) +3 more · Austin: J. Bell (questionable), Ervin Torres (questionable), Chris Applewhite (questionable)
Wealdstone
v
Southend
Over 2.5 goals · 67% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -2.4 pts
FC Cincinnati
v
Philadelphia Union
Over 2.5 goals · 67% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -2.4 pts
Missing — FC Cincinnati: T. Malacia (questionable), M. Robinson (missing fixture), P. Bucha (questionable) +2 more · Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno (missing fixture), M. Iloski (missing fixture), D. Jean-Jacques (missing fixture) +1 more
Cambuur
v
GO Ahead Eagles
Over 2.5 goals · 67% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -2.4 pts
Missing — Cambuur: J. Amofa (missing fixture), B. van Duijl (questionable), W. Asselman (missing fixture) +1 more · GO Ahead Eagles: Pim Saathof (missing fixture)
FC Augsburg
v
SC Freiburg
Over 2.5 goals · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — FC Augsburg: S. Mounié (missing fixture), A. Claude-Maurice (questionable), C. Brackelmann (missing fixture) +2 more · SC Freiburg: P. Treu (questionable), J. Makengo (questionable), D. Scherhant (questionable) +1 more
FC Schalke 04
v
RB Leipzig
Over 2.5 goals · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — FC Schalke 04: M. Sylla (missing fixture), M. Wöber (missing fixture), J. Bachmann (missing fixture) +5 more · RB Leipzig: C. Nkunku (questionable), M. Estève (missing fixture), A. Ouédraogo (missing fixture) +1 more
Stockport County
v
AFC Wimbledon
Over 2.5 goals · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Columbus Crew
v
DC United
Over 2.5 goals · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Columbus Crew: E. Bailly (questionable), W. Abou Ali (missing fixture), André Gomes (questionable) +3 more · DC United: L. Munteanu (missing fixture), Gabriel Segal (questionable), T. Baribo (questionable) +1 more
Sporting Kansas City
v
FC Dallas
Over 2.5 goals · 66% model probability · odds 1.44 · edge -3.4 pts
Missing — Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong (questionable), L. Johnsen (questionable), O. Blorian (missing fixture) +4 more · FC Dallas: S. Moore (missing fixture), Geovane (questionable), N. Norris (missing fixture) +1 more
Borussia Mönchengladbach
v
SC Paderborn 07
Over 2.5 goals · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts
Missing — Borussia Mönchengladbach: F. Honorat (missing fixture), T. Kleindienst (missing fixture), K. Diks (missing fixture) +5 more · SC Paderborn 07: S. Michel (questionable), S. Klaas (missing fixture), O. Batista Meier (missing fixture) +4 more
Wolves
v
Cardiff
Over 2.5 goals · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts
Missing — Wolves: B. Traoré (questionable), R. Jiménez (missing fixture), G. Konan (missing fixture) +4 more · Cardiff: C. Chambers (missing fixture), C. Robinson (questionable), K. Bielik (questionable) +3 more
Real Betis
v
Malaga
Over 2.5 goals · 64% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -2.7 pts
Missing — Real Betis: Junior Firpo (missing fixture), C. Hernández (missing fixture), Iker Losada (missing fixture) +1 more · Malaga: Joaquín Muñoz (missing fixture), Pablo Martínez (missing fixture), Julen Lobete (missing fixture) +4 more
Boston United
v
Scunthorpe
Over 2.5 goals · 64% model probability · odds 1.48 · edge -3.6 pts
San Jose Earthquakes
v
Real Salt Lake
Over 2.5 goals · 64% model probability · odds 1.48 · edge -3.6 pts
Missing — San Jose Earthquakes: T. Werner (missing fixture), J. Gónzalez (questionable), D. Jones (missing fixture) +2 more · Real Salt Lake: L. Engel (questionable), M. Guilavogui (missing fixture), D. Luna (missing fixture) +3 more
Levante
v
Atletico Madrid
Over 2.5 goals · 63% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -2.4 pts
Missing — Levante: Dela (questionable), E. Bardeli (missing fixture) · Atletico Madrid: Koke (missing fixture), Cristian Romero (questionable), Johnny Cardoso (missing fixture)
Rangers
v
Aberdeen
Over 2.5 goals · 63% model probability
Tamworth
v
Woking
Over 2.5 goals · 63% model probability · odds 1.50 · edge -3.7 pts
Plymouth
v
Reading
Over 2.5 goals · 62% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -3.4 pts
Grimsby
v
York
Over 2.5 goals · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
Barnsley
v
Oxford United
Over 2.5 goals · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts
Aldershot Town
v
Gateshead
Over 2.5 goals · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
Worthing
v
Sutton Utd
Over 2.5 goals · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
Udinese
v
AS Roma
Over 2.5 goals · 61% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -2.7 pts
Missing — Udinese: D. Alaba (missing fixture), O. Solet (questionable), V. Bayo (missing fixture) +3 more · AS Roma: M. Svilar (missing fixture), L. Pellegrini (missing fixture), P. Dybala (missing fixture) +2 more
New York City FC
v
CF Montreal
Over 2.5 goals · 61% model probability · odds 1.53 · edge -4.4 pts
Missing — New York City FC: M. Moralez (missing fixture), A. Martínez (questionable), K. Trewin (missing fixture) +2 more · CF Montreal: P. Owusu (questionable), B. Ceballos (missing fixture), J. Neal (questionable) +2 more
Norwich
v
Watford
Over 2.5 goals · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
Missing — Norwich: P. Mattsson (questionable), Mirko Topić (questionable), M. Touré (missing fixture) +3 more · Watford: M. Antonio (missing fixture), K. Baah (missing fixture), S. Coulibaly (missing fixture) +2 more
Crewe
v
Barnet
Over 2.5 goals · 60% model probability · odds 1.60 · edge -2.5 pts
Oldham
v
Crawley Town
Over 2.5 goals · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
Altrincham
v
Carlisle
Over 2.5 goals · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
FC Porto
v
Estoril
Over 2.5 goals · 60% model probability · odds 1.57 · edge -3.7 pts
Chelsea
v
Manchester United
Over 2.5 goals · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts
Missing — Chelsea: João Pedro (missing fixture), R. James (missing fixture), E. Martínez (missing fixture) +6 more · Manchester United: L. Shaw (missing fixture), M. Rashford (questionable), Bruno Fernandes (questionable) +4 more
Forest Green
v
Harrogate Town
Over 2.5 goals · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts
Tottenham
v
Crystal Palace
Over 2.5 goals · 59% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -2.7 pts
Missing — Tottenham: R. Bentancur (missing fixture), J. Maddison (questionable), T. Adarabioyo (missing fixture) +6 more · Crystal Palace: J. Strand Larsen (questionable), I. Sarr (missing fixture), T. Tomiyasu (missing fixture) +2 more
FC Halifax Town
v
Yeovil Town
Over 2.5 goals · 58% model probability · odds 1.65 · edge -2.6 pts
Dundee Utd
v
Heart Of Midlothian
Over 2.5 goals · 58% model probability
Motherwell
v
ST Mirren
Over 2.5 goals · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts
Brentford
v
Nottingham Forest
Over 2.5 goals · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
Missing — Brentford: R. Henry (missing fixture), J. Dasilva (questionable), Fábio Carvalho (missing fixture) +3 more · Nottingham Forest: N. Domínguez (questionable), Igor Jesus (missing fixture), D. Ndoye (missing fixture) +2 more
Southampton
v
QPR
Over 2.5 goals · 58% model probability · odds 1.62 · edge -3.7 pts
Missing — Southampton: C. Larin (questionable), F. Downes (questionable) · QPR: N. Madsen (missing fixture), I. Chair (missing fixture), R. Burrell (missing fixture) +3 more
Barrow
v
Eastleigh
Over 2.5 goals · 58% model probability · odds 1.60 · edge -4.5 pts
AC Milan
v
Inter
Over 2.5 goals · 58% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -1.9 pts
Missing — AC Milan: A. Rabiot (questionable), A. Saelemaekers (missing fixture), S. Chukwueze (missing fixture) +5 more · Inter: Lautaro Martínez (missing fixture), C. Jones (missing fixture), J. Stones (missing fixture) +2 more
Kilmarnock
v
ST Johnstone
Over 2.5 goals · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts
West Ham
v
West Brom
Over 2.5 goals · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts
Missing — West Ham: J. Veltman (questionable), K. Mavropanos (missing fixture), K. Lamadrid (questionable) · West Brom: M. Johnston (missing fixture), Tobias Christopher Collyer (missing fixture), N. Galves (missing fixture)
Milton Keynes Dons
v
Doncaster
Over 2.5 goals · 57% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -1.8 pts
Wycombe
v
Burton Albion
Over 2.5 goals · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts
Aston Villa
v
Fulham
Over 2.5 goals · 57% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -2.9 pts
Missing — Aston Villa: A. Wan-Bissaka (missing fixture), M. Ruggeri (missing fixture), A. Onana (missing fixture) · Fulham: E. Smith Rowe (questionable), R. Sessegnon (missing fixture), D. Affengruber (questionable)
Swindon Town
v
Rotherham
Over 2.5 goals · 56% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -2.8 pts
Leicester
v
Stevenage
Over 2.5 goals · 56% model probability · odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts
Solihull Moors
v
Kidderminster Harriers
Over 2.5 goals · 56% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -2.8 pts
Colchester
v
Walsall
Over 2.5 goals · 55% model probability · odds 1.70 · edge -3.8 pts
Tranmere
v
Cheltenham
Over 2.5 goals · 55% model probability · odds 1.73 · edge -2.8 pts
The model's probability for each goals line beside the current Bet365 price. Market is the price's implied probability with the margin removed; edge is model minus market for the over — negative means the model leans under. Reference numbers, not published selections.
Chelsea
v
Manchester United
Model expects 3.1 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 1.03 | 15.00 | 94% | +1.9 pts |
| 1.5 | 82% | 1.20 | 4.50 | 79% | +2.6 pts |
| 2.5 | 60% | 1.62 | 2.30 | 59% | +1.2 pts |
| 3.5 | 38% | 2.50 | 1.53 | 38% | -0.5 pts |
| 4.5 | 20% | 4.50 | 1.20 | 21% | -0.9 pts |
| 5.5 | 9% | 8.00 | 1.08 | 12% | -2.5 pts |
| 6.5 | 4% | 17.00 | 1.02 | 6% | -1.8 pts |
| 7.5 | 1% | 29.00 | 1.01 | 3% | -2 pts |
| 8.5 | 1% | 51.00 | – | – | – |
Norwich
v
Watford
Model expects 3.1 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 1.02 | 17.00 | 94% | +1.2 pts |
| 1.5 | 82% | 1.17 | 5.00 | 81% | +0.5 pts |
| 2.5 | 60% | 1.57 | 2.38 | 60% | -0.4 pts |
| 3.5 | 38% | 2.38 | 1.57 | 40% | -2.2 pts |
| 4.5 | 20% | 4.33 | 1.22 | 22% | -1.8 pts |
| 5.5 | 9% | 8.00 | 1.08 | 12% | -2.5 pts |
| 6.5 | 4% | 15.00 | 1.03 | 6% | -2.5 pts |
| 7.5 | 1% | 29.00 | 1.01 | 3% | -2 pts |
Stoke City
v
Preston
Model expects 2.8 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 1.05 | 11.00 | 91% | +2.6 pts |
| 1.5 | 77% | 1.25 | 4.00 | 76% | +0.7 pts |
| 2.5 | 53% | 1.80 | 2.00 | 53% | +0.5 pts |
| 3.5 | 31% | 3.20 | 1.36 | 30% | +1 pts |
| 4.5 | 15% | 5.50 | 1.14 | 17% | -2 pts |
| 5.5 | 7% | 11.00 | 1.05 | 9% | -2.2 pts |
| 6.5 | 2% | 23.00 | 1.01 | 4% | -1.8 pts |
| 7.5 | 1% | 51.00 | – | – | – |
Bradford
v
Huddersfield
Model expects 2.7 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 1.05 | 11.00 | 91% | +2 pts |
| 1.5 | 75% | 1.25 | 3.75 | 75% | +0.1 pts |
| 2.5 | 51% | 1.85 | 1.95 | 51% | -0.7 pts |
| 3.5 | 29% | 3.25 | 1.33 | 29% | -0.4 pts |
| 4.5 | 14% | 6.00 | 1.12 | 16% | -2 pts |
| 5.5 | 6% | 13.00 | 1.04 | 7% | -1.7 pts |
| 6.5 | 2% | 26.00 | 1.01 | 4% | -1.6 pts |
| 7.5 | 1% | 51.00 | – | – | – |
Port Vale
v
Rochdale
Model expects 2.6 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 1.05 | 11.00 | 91% | +1.3 pts |
| 1.5 | 73% | 1.28 | 3.50 | 73% | +0.1 pts |
| 2.5 | 48% | 1.95 | 1.85 | 49% | -0.5 pts |
| 3.5 | 26% | 3.40 | 1.30 | 28% | -1.3 pts |
| 4.5 | 12% | 6.50 | 1.11 | 15% | -2.3 pts |
| 5.5 | 5% | 15.00 | 1.03 | 6% | -1.5 pts |
| 6.5 | 2% | 29.00 | 1.01 | 3% | -1.7 pts |
Plymouth
v
Reading
Model expects 3.2 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 1.02 | 17.00 | 94% | +1.6 pts |
| 1.5 | 83% | 1.17 | 5.00 | 81% | +1.9 pts |
| 2.5 | 62% | 1.53 | 2.40 | 61% | +0.9 pts |
| 3.5 | 40% | 2.25 | 1.57 | 41% | -1.4 pts |
| 4.5 | 22% | 4.00 | 1.22 | 23% | -1.5 pts |
| 5.5 | 11% | 8.00 | 1.08 | 12% | -1.4 pts |
| 6.5 | 5% | 17.00 | 1.02 | 6% | -1.2 pts |
| 7.5 | 2% | 29.00 | 1.01 | 3% | -1.7 pts |
Grimsby
v
York
Model expects 3.1 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 1.02 | 17.00 | 94% | +1.2 pts |
| 1.5 | 82% | 1.17 | 5.00 | 81% | +0.5 pts |
| 2.5 | 60% | 1.57 | 2.35 | 60% | 0 pts |
| 3.5 | 38% | 2.38 | 1.53 | 39% | -1.6 pts |
| 4.5 | 20% | 4.33 | 1.20 | 22% | -1.5 pts |
| 5.5 | 9% | 9.00 | 1.07 | 11% | -1.2 pts |
| 6.5 | 4% | 17.00 | 1.02 | 6% | -1.8 pts |
| 7.5 | 1% | 34.00 | – | – | – |
Leyton Orient
v
Cambridge United
Model expects 2.7 goals
| Line | Model over | Over | Under | Market over | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 1.05 | 11.00 | 91% | +2 pts |
| 1.5 | 75% | 1.25 | 3.75 | 75% | +0.1 pts |
| 2.5 | 51% | 1.85 | 1.95 | 51% | -0.7 pts |
| 3.5 | 29% | 3.25 | 1.33 | 29% | -0.4 pts |
| 4.5 | 14% | 6.00 | 1.12 | 16% | -2 pts |
| 5.5 | 6% | 13.00 | 1.04 | 7% | -1.7 pts |
| 6.5 | 2% | 26.00 | 1.01 | 4% | -1.6 pts |
| 7.5 | 1% | 51.00 | – | – | – |
Over 2.5 goals is the most traded goals line in football, which cuts both ways. Liquidity keeps the prices honest on big matches, but it also means the market's average expectation is already baked in: across the leagues we cover, roughly half of all matches produce three or more goals, and the standard price reflects exactly that. Backing overs profitably is therefore never about expecting an entertaining game. It is about finding fixtures where the true chance of three goals is higher than the price implies, and passing on everything else.
The model builds its over 2.5 probability from goal expectancies rather than vibes. Each side's attacking and defensive rating, adjusted for opponent and venue, produces an expected goals figure for the fixture; the probability of every scoreline follows from those figures, and the over 2.5 number is the sum of every scoreline with three goals or more. A selection appears on this page only when that number clears our publication threshold, so a blank day here means no fixture qualified, not that we forgot.
What tends to qualify? Matches pairing two capable attacks with two generous defences, obviously, but also less obvious shapes: a strong home side against a weak team that still commits players forward, or leagues where scoring runs structurally high. What rarely qualifies is the fixture casual money loves most, the top-of-the-table clash. Big matches are frequently tight, because the downside of losing outweighs the upside of winning well, and the model's numbers reflect that season after season.
Two practical notes. First, an early goal is the friend of every overs bet, since it forces the trailing side to open up; a goalless first twenty minutes is not fatal but it does erode the maths. Second, resist judging the market on three results. Goal totals swing violently over small samples, and the only fair test of these selections is the settled record for this market, which we publish in full with the odds available at publication.
If the term itself is new to you, the glossary explains exactly how over 2.5 goals settles, including the maths and a worked example. Related pages cover over 1.5 for shorter-priced accumulator legs and under 2.5 for the other side of the same line.
They are selections for this market produced by a statistical model rather than a tipster. The model estimates a probability for every fixture it prices, and a selection appears here when that probability clears the market threshold. The market itself is explained in plain English in our glossary.
A model rates every team from recent results, converts those ratings into goal expectancies for each fixture, and turns the expectancies into probabilities for this market. Selections are archived at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Over its full recorded history this market has a 65.7% strike rate from 1066 settled selections, at 0.6% ROI to level stakes. Every settled selection is published in the results archive, including the losing runs.
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