Kick-off 2026-09-17 19:00 UTC
AFC Wimbledon
v
Milton Keynes Dons
England · League One
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Milton Keynes Dons to win
· 44% model probability
· odds 2.20 · edge -1.5 pts
The model makes Milton Keynes Dons to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 44% likelihood. Recent form reads WDLLL for AFC Wimbledon and WDLWD for Milton Keynes Dons, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Model
Goals 2.7
Corners 8.9 (4.6H · 4.3A)
Cards 4.0
BTTS 55%
O2.5 51%
Odds
Home 3.10
Draw 3.30
Away 2.20
BTTS 1.70
O2.5 1.85
More Milton Keynes Dons to win tips
· League One predictions
Beşiktaş
v
Marseille
UEFA Europa League
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Beşiktaş to win
· 55% model probability
· odds 1.75 · edge -2.1 pts ▼ Steaming 16.7%
This one comes down to Beşiktaş to win. The model puts it at 55%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WWLDW for Beşiktaş and LWLLL for Marseille, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Beşiktaş: L. Trossard (missing fixture), R. Yılmaz (missing fixture), M. Rashica (missing fixture) +2 more · Marseille: G. Kondogbia (missing fixture), T. Nnadi (missing fixture), E. Mbondo (missing fixture)
Model
Goals 3.1
Corners 10.1 (5.1H · 5.1A)
Cards 4.4
BTTS 60%
O2.5 61%
Odds
Home 1.75
Draw 4.10
Away 4.10
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.57
More Beşiktaş to win tips
Celtic
v
Ferencvarosi TC
UEFA Europa League
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Celtic to win
· 56% model probability
· odds 1.67 · edge -3.9 pts
This one comes down to Celtic to win. The model puts it at 56%, its highest figure for the match. Form lines of WWWWD and WWWWW tell part of the story; the model also weighs opposition quality and scoring patterns in UEFA Europa League. As always, that is a probability rather than a promise, and short priced outcomes still lose.
Missing — Celtic: A. Oxlade-Chamberlain (missing fixture), Jota (missing fixture), A. Johnston (missing fixture) +6 more · Ferencvarosi TC: B. Ötvös (missing fixture), G. Szécsi (missing fixture), E. Botka (questionable) +2 more
Model
Goals 3.2
Corners 13.2 (7.4H · 5.7A)
Cards 3.5
BTTS 61%
O2.5 63%
Odds
Home 1.67
Draw 4.10
Away 4.75
BTTS 1.53
O2.5 1.53
More Celtic to win tips
Crystal Palace
v
Lech Poznan
UEFA Europa League
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Crystal Palace to win
· 67% model probability
· odds 1.36 · edge -6.5 pts
This one comes down to Crystal Palace to win. The model puts it at 67%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads LWLDW for Crystal Palace and WWWWW for Lech Poznan, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Crystal Palace: E. Nketiah (questionable), I. Sarr (missing fixture), J. Lerma (missing fixture) +8 more · Lech Poznan: A. Gholizadeh (missing fixture), D. Håkans (missing fixture), A. Douglas (missing fixture) +1 more
Model
Goals 3.2
Corners 9.5 (4.2H · 5.3A)
Cards 3.8
BTTS 55%
O2.5 62%
Odds
Home 1.36
Draw 5.00
Away 8.00
BTTS 1.80
O2.5 1.53
More Crystal Palace to win tips
Juventus
v
NEC Nijmegen
UEFA Europa League
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Juventus to win
· 81% model probability
· odds 1.18 · edge -3.7 pts
The model makes Juventus to win its strongest angle here, at an estimated 81% likelihood. Juventus arrive on a WLDWW run while NEC Nijmegen have gone WWLDW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Missing — Juventus: K. Thuram (missing fixture), A. Milik (missing fixture), W. McKennie (missing fixture) +10 more · NEC Nijmegen: E. Mor (missing fixture), G. Crettaz (missing fixture), I. Hansen-Aarøen (missing fixture) +5 more
Model
Goals 3.5
Corners 10.0 (5.0H · 5.0A)
Cards 3.6
BTTS 47%
O2.5 68%
Odds
Home 1.18
Draw 7.50
Away 15.00
BTTS 1.95
O2.5 1.40
More Juventus to win tips
Lillestrom
v
Torreense
UEFA Europa League
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Lillestrom to win
· 57% model probability
· odds 1.62 · edge -4.7 pts
This one comes down to Lillestrom to win. The model puts it at 57%, its highest figure for the match. Recent form reads WLWLL for Lillestrom and WDLLD for Torreense, and the ratings behind those sequences drive the price. Treat the number as an estimate. It describes the balance of chances, not the result.
Missing — Lillestrom: E. Garnås (questionable), C. Jebara (missing fixture), L. Alperud (missing fixture)
Model
Goals 3.0
BTTS 56%
O2.5 57%
Odds
Home 1.62
Draw 4.10
Away 5.00
BTTS 1.67
O2.5 1.67
More Lillestrom to win tips
Plzen
v
Union St. Gilloise
UEFA Europa League
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 59% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -4.7 pts
This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 59%, its highest figure for the match. Plzen arrive on a DDLWW run while Union St. Gilloise have gone WWDLL, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Missing — Plzen: M. Vydra (missing fixture), V. Jemelka (missing fixture), M. Tvrdoň (missing fixture) +2 more · Union St. Gilloise: A. Zorgane (missing fixture), K. Mac Allister (missing fixture), R. Sykes (missing fixture) +6 more
Model
Goals 2.9
Corners 10.6 (5.2H · 5.4A)
Cards 4.4
BTTS 59%
O2.5 55%
Odds
Home 2.50
Draw 3.50
Away 2.75
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.73
More Both teams to score tips
Real Sociedad
v
Bournemouth
UEFA Europa League
Thu 17 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Both teams to score
· 62% model probability
· odds 1.57 · edge -1.7 pts
This one comes down to both teams to score. The model puts it at 62%, its highest figure for the match. Real Sociedad arrive on a LDLDW run while Bournemouth have gone LDWWW, which is what the underlying ratings are reacting to. No estimate settles a football match. The figure describes likelihood, nothing firmer.
Missing — Real Sociedad: Odriozola (missing fixture), Zubeldia (missing fixture), J. Aramburu (missing fixture) · Bournemouth: T. Adams (questionable), F. Forster (missing fixture), M. Aarons (missing fixture) +7 more
Model
Goals 3.0
Corners 11.1 (5.4H · 5.7A)
Cards 4.9
BTTS 62%
O2.5 58%
Odds
Home 3.10
Draw 3.50
Away 2.20
BTTS 1.57
O2.5 1.67
More Both teams to score tips