Sebastian Berhalter to score anytime · Middlesbrough v Millwall · odds 4.33 · model 34% · edge +10.6 pts
Anytime Goalscorer Tips
Last updated 38 minutes ago
Today's Selections
This market is not yet part of the verified selection record — the archived, settled picks cover the result and goals markets the model was built on. What we publish here instead are the model's live reference numbers for today's fixtures, below, so you can see its view of this market beside the current prices.
Today's Scorer Picks info market
The model's strongest anytime-scorer values today: highest edge between its per-match scoring probability and the current price. An info market — these picks sit outside the site's verified selection record, and player markets carry real variance. Never more than five a day, and none at all when nothing clears the bar.
Rokas Pukstas to score anytime · Middlesbrough v Millwall · odds 4.00 · model 32% · edge +6.5 pts
Dominic Ballard to score anytime · Bristol City v Lincoln · odds 2.50 · model 46% · edge +6 pts
Lorent Tolaj to score anytime · Bristol City v Lincoln · odds 2.30 · model 48% · edge +4.9 pts
Informal record: 2/10 landed (-36.3% to level stakes) over the last 30 days. Not part of the verified archive.
Current Anytime Scorer Prices
Bookmaker prices (Bet365), shown for reference — these are not model selections. The model does not yet price this market. Boards open close to kick-off, so this section is fullest in the final hours before a match.
Ararat-Armenia
v
Sparta Praha
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Jonatan Brunes | 2.10 |
| Matyas Vojta | 2.25 |
| Adam Karabec | 2.40 |
| Ebrima Singhateh | 2.40 |
| Joao Grimaldo | 2.40 |
| Ondrej Penxa | 2.60 |
| John Mercado | 2.75 |
| Sandro Lima | 3.10 |
Omonia Nicosia
v
Celta Vigo
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Borja Iglesias | 2.50 |
| Ferran Jutgla | 2.62 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 3.00 |
| Iago Aspas | 3.00 |
| Pablo Duran | 3.00 |
| Williot Swedberg | 3.40 |
| Andronikos Kakoullis | 3.60 |
| Couhaib Driouech | 4.00 |
Atletico Madrid
v
Osasuna
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Alexander Sorloth | 1.80 |
| Jonathan David | 1.95 |
| Julian Alvarez | 2.05 |
| Ademola Lookman | 2.10 |
| Carlos Martin | 2.30 |
| Miguel Cubo | 2.50 |
| Arnau Ortiz | 2.75 |
| Kang-In Lee | 2.75 |
Deportivo La Coruna
v
Sevilla
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | 2.75 |
| Isaac Romero | 3.00 |
| Robbie Ure | 3.00 |
| Kevin Sanchez | 3.20 |
| Yeremay Hernandez | 3.20 |
| Bil Nsongo | 3.40 |
| Lucas Stassin | 3.40 |
| Zakaria Eddahchouri | 3.60 |
Altrincham
v
Hartlepool
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Knowles | 2.50 |
| Kristian Dennis | 2.62 |
| Jack Nolan | 2.75 |
| Samuel Taylor | 2.75 |
| Anthony Forde | 3.00 |
| Josh Donaldson | 3.00 |
| Kane Hemmings | 3.00 |
| Kian Foreman | 3.00 |
Kidderminster Harriers
v
Gateshead
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Layton Love | 2.30 |
| Lewis Walker | 2.30 |
| Levi Amantchi | 2.50 |
| Callum Stewart | 2.62 |
| Dan Mooney | 2.62 |
| Ethan Moore | 2.62 |
| Cameron Hargreaves | 3.40 |
| David Davis | 3.40 |
Scunthorpe
v
Boreham Wood
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Jay Bird | 1.73 |
| Matt Rush | 1.83 |
| Abdul Abdulmalik | 2.05 |
| Luke Norris | 2.05 |
| Danny Cashman | 2.20 |
| Danny Whitehall | 2.50 |
| Lewis Richardson | 2.50 |
| Declan Howe | 2.75 |
AC Milan
v
Benfica
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Christian Pulisic | 2.40 |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 2.40 |
| Francesco Camarda | 2.60 |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2.60 |
| Jhon Duran | 2.88 |
| Dodi Lukebakio | 3.10 |
| Claudio Reis Anisio Cabral | 3.25 |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 3.40 |
Anderlecht
v
Lyon
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Keito Nakamura | 2.20 |
| Lois Openda | 2.20 |
| Pavel Sulc | 2.88 |
| Ernest Nuamah | 3.00 |
| Mihajlo Cvetkovic | 3.00 |
| Corentin Tolisso | 3.20 |
| Kail Boudache | 3.20 |
| Remi Himbert | 3.20 |
Bayer Leverkusen
v
Celje
| Player | Price |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 1.53 |
| Christian Kofane | 1.73 |
| Victor Boniface | 1.73 |
| Moussa Diaby | 1.83 |
| Martin Terrier | 2.10 |
| Afonso Moreira | 2.20 |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | 2.20 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 2.20 |
Anytime goalscorer tips with the maths showing
The anytime goalscorer market is football betting at its most personal, and its most mispriced. Prices track fame as much as output: household names carry short odds long after their underlying numbers fade, while a penalty-taking midfielder at a well-priced club can sit at twice the odds his scoring rate deserves. That gap between reputation and rate is where this market pays.
Pricing a scorer properly starts with the team, not the player. A striker converts a share of his side's goals, so the fixture's goal expectancy sets the ceiling: the same forward is a materially better bet in a match his team is expected to dominate than in a defensive struggle, at what is often the same advertised price. The model works in exactly that order, building the fixture's expected goals first, then distributing them across likely scorers by minutes, role and share of team scoring. Penalty duty is the single most valuable modifier in the market, quietly adding several percentage points of probability that lazy prices ignore.
A rough conversion to keep in your head: a player who scores in 40% of his starts is fairly priced around 2.50, and at 45% around 2.20. When you see 2.80 against a defence conceding freely, that is the shape of a value bet. When a famous name is 1.80 with a probability nearer 45%, that is the shape of a donation.
The variance here is spikier than in team markets. Strikers get rotated, hooked at an hour, or starved of service in exactly the game you backed them, and no projection sees a team sheet before it is published. Late team news moves this market more than any other we cover, which is a reason to bet it close to kick-off or not at all. Selections appear on this page when the model's number clears the threshold, and the settled record carries the only performance claims we make.
Scorer picks combine naturally with match angles in a bet builder, and the fixture-level goal expectancies that drive everything here are visible in the correct score predictor.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are anytime goalscorer tips?
They are selections for this market produced by a statistical model rather than a tipster. The model estimates a probability for every fixture it prices, and a selection appears here when that probability clears the market threshold. The market itself is explained in plain English in our glossary.
How are these tips generated?
A model rates every team from recent results, converts those ratings into goal expectancies for each fixture, and turns the expectancies into probabilities for this market. Selections are archived at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
How has this market performed?
The verified record for this market builds from launch. Every settled selection will be published in the results archive, including the losing runs.