Brazil Série A Predictions

This Week's Fixtures

Coritiba v Vitoria

Brazil · Serie A Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Coritiba to win · 42% model probability · odds 2.25

Model Goals 2.6 Corners 8.9 (4.6H · 4.3A) Cards 5.4 BTTS 53% O2.5 48%

Scores 1-1 14.4% 1-0 11.2% 0-0 11.1%

Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.25 Away 3.20 BTTS 1.75 O2.5 1.95

RB Bragantino v Santos

Brazil · Serie A Mon 2 Nov, 23:00 UTC

Both teams to score · 62% model probability · odds 1.53

Model BTTS 62% O2.5 59%

Scores 1-1 12.8% 2-1 9.3% 1-0 8.3%

Odds Home 2.05 Draw 3.40 Away 3.40 BTTS 1.53 O2.5 1.60

Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol

Brazil · Serie A Tue 3 Nov, 22:30 UTC

Mirassol to win · 41% model probability · odds 2.20

Model BTTS 57% O2.5 53%

Scores 1-1 13.3% 1-2 8.5% 2-1 8.1%

Odds Home 3.00 Draw 3.50 Away 2.20 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.80

Internacional v Coritiba

Brazil · Serie A Wed 4 Nov, 00:30 UTC

Internacional to win · 62% model probability · odds 1.53

Model BTTS 50% O2.5 53%

Scores 1-1 12.7% 1-0 10.3% 2-1 9.7%

Odds Home 1.53 Draw 4.00 Away 5.75 BTTS 1.91 O2.5 1.80

Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama

Brazil · Serie A Wed 4 Nov, 22:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 54%

Scores 1-1 13.8% 1-0 12.8% 0-0 11.1%

Odds Home 2.15 Draw 3.50 Away 3.10 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.73

Flamengo v Gremio

Brazil · Serie A Wed 4 Nov, 22:30 UTC

Flamengo to win · 82% model probability · odds 1.17

Model BTTS 45% O2.5 68%

Scores 2-0 11.6% 1-1 10.8% 1-0 10.6%

Odds Home 1.17 Draw 6.50 Away 15.00 BTTS 2.00 O2.5 1.40

Botafogo v Atletico-MG

Brazil · Serie A Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 UTC

Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62

Model BTTS 58% O2.5 55%

Scores 1-1 13.2% 1-0 9.3% 2-1 9.3%

Odds Home 1.95 Draw 3.60 Away 3.50 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.70

Sao Paulo v Corinthians

Brazil · Serie A Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 UTC

Sao Paulo to win · 46% model probability · odds 2.05

Model BTTS 43% O2.5 37%

Scores 1-1 14.3% 1-0 12% 0-0 11.5%

Odds Home 2.05 Draw 3.10 Away 3.70 BTTS 2.10 O2.5 2.50

Palmeiras v Remo

Brazil · Serie A Thu 5 Nov, 22:30 UTC

Palmeiras to win · 77% model probability · odds 1.22

Model BTTS 44% O2.5 60%

Scores 1-1 13.4% 1-0 13.3% 0-0 11%

Odds Home 1.22 Draw 5.50 Away 10.00 BTTS 2.00 O2.5 1.53

Cruzeiro v Bahia

Brazil · Serie A Fri 6 Nov, 00:30 UTC

Cruzeiro to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.67

Model BTTS 60% O2.5 61%

Scores 1-1 13.4% 1-0 9.3% 2-1 9.1%

Odds Home 1.67 Draw 3.80 Away 4.75 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.53

Vitoria v Fluminense

Brazil · Serie A Fri 6 Nov, 23:00 UTC

Fluminense to win · 40% model probability · odds 2.30

Model BTTS 51% O2.5 45%

Odds Home 3.10 Draw 3.25 Away 2.30 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 2.05

Current Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	40	73	WWWWD
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	34	70	DWWWW
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	6	57	WWWLW
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	10	54	WLLLW
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	15	9	9	10	54	LDLWD
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	6	53	WDLWL
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	5	50	LLWWD
8	Santos	33	12	11	10	2	47	DDWLD
9	RB Bragantino	33	12	8	13	4	44	WLDWD
10	Sao Paulo	33	12	7	14	0	43	LDWWL
11	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	-8	39	LLWDL
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	-12	39	LLDLL
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	10	8	14	-9	38	LWLDW
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	-11	38	DDLWL
15	Gremio	33	9	10	14	-7	37	WWLDD
16	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	-8	37	DWLDW
17	Internacional	33	8	11	14	-5	35	LWLDW
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	-8	33	LDLLL
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	-15	29	WLDDD
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	4	9	19	-34	21	LWLLL

Betting Brazil Série A in 2026

Brazil's Série A is on our slate for two reasons: it is a deep, competitive, twenty-club league that the model prices well, and it runs on a calendar year — filling the European summer and quiet midweeks when our other leagues rest. When the Premier League is on a beach in June, Brazil is mid-season, and the fixture list here is one of the busiest in world football: league rounds, state obligations and continental competition stack up relentlessly.

The football confounds the stereotype. Modern Série A is not samba chaos; it is one of the lowest-scoring major leagues in the world, regularly near 2.2 to 2.4 goals per game — tactical, physical, and refereed in a way that fragments matches. Unders and low correct scores are the structural lean, and over-priced overs from bettors expecting carnival football are a persistent source of value on the other side.

Two Brazilian particulars matter enormously. Travel: this is a country the size of a continent, and away trips can cross three time zones into different climates — home advantage in Série A is among the strongest in world football, and away form league-wide is dismal. Squad churn: the European transfer windows raid Brazilian squads twice a year mid-season, so a team's April XI and its August XI can be strangers.

How the model handles it

Separated home and away ratings do the heavy lifting in a league this venue-asymmetric, and rolling form windows absorb the mid-season selling better than reputation-based pricing does. Continental competition (Libertadores and Sudamericana) forces heavy weekend rotation the market is slow to price — the Brazilian equivalent of the Europa League hangover, and one of our most reliable angles here. Expect selections leaning to home results, unders, and the draw, which lands frequently and is chronically underbet.

Every Série A selection is archived at kickoff, settled at the odds available at publication, and published in full on the model results page.