Inter Turku
v
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen to win · 53% model probability · odds 1.73
Model BTTS 58% O2.5 58%
Odds Home 4.20 Draw 3.60 Away 1.73 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.65
Lincoln Red Imps FC
v
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC to win · 40% model probability · odds 2.38
Model BTTS 54% O2.5 48%
Odds Home 2.38 Draw 3.40 Away 2.62 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 1.95
FC Midtjylland
v
HNK Rijeka
FC Midtjylland to win · 60% model probability · odds 1.53
Model BTTS 52% O2.5 54%
Odds Home 1.53 Draw 4.00 Away 5.25 BTTS 1.83 O2.5 1.75
FC Nordsjaelland
v
FC ST. Gallen
FC Nordsjaelland to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.70
Model BTTS 64% O2.5 65%
Odds Home 1.70 Draw 4.00 Away 4.00 BTTS 1.50 O2.5 1.50
Tromso
v
Brighton
Brighton to win · 55% model probability · odds 1.65
Model BTTS 56% O2.5 55%
Odds Home 4.75 Draw 3.60 Away 1.65 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.70
KI Klaksvik
v
Riga
Both teams to score · 62% model probability · odds 1.57
Model BTTS 62% O2.5 59%
Odds Home 3.20 Draw 3.60 Away 2.00 BTTS 1.57 O2.5 1.62
PAOK
v
Brann
PAOK to win · 57% model probability · odds 1.65
Model BTTS 56% O2.5 57%
Odds Home 1.65 Draw 3.80 Away 4.75 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.67
Drita
v
Inter Club D'Escaldes
Both teams to score · 61% model probability
Model BTTS 61% O2.5 58%
Gornik Zabrze
v
Monaco
Monaco to win · 58% model probability · odds 1.53
Model BTTS 56% O2.5 56%
Odds Home 5.00 Draw 4.00 Away 1.53 BTTS 1.83 O2.5 1.70
Twente
v
Qarabag
Twente to win · 56% model probability · odds 1.62
Model BTTS 55% O2.5 55%
Odds Home 1.62 Draw 3.60 Away 5.00 BTTS 1.73 O2.5 1.73
Vikingur Reykjavik
v
Borac Banja Luka
Vikingur Reykjavik to win · 54% model probability · odds 1.73
Model BTTS 57% O2.5 56%
Odds Home 1.73 Draw 3.80 Away 4.00 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.67
FC Sion
v
Ajax
Both teams to score · 61% model probability · odds 1.67
Model BTTS 61% O2.5 60%
Odds Home 3.90 Draw 4.00 Away 1.67 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.60
Atalanta
v
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Atalanta to win · 82% model probability · odds 1.14
Model BTTS 40% O2.5 64%
Odds Home 1.14 Draw 7.00 Away 15.00 BTTS 2.20 O2.5 1.44
Gent
v
Hibernian
Gent to win · 58% model probability · odds 1.60
Model BTTS 45% O2.5 44%
Odds Home 1.60 Draw 3.70 Away 5.00 BTTS 2.10 O2.5 2.10
FC Lugano
v
Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Lugano to win · 45% model probability · odds 2.00
Model BTTS 55% O2.5 51%
Odds Home 2.00 Draw 3.40 Away 3.30 BTTS 1.80 O2.5 1.95
Motherwell
v
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg to win · 58% model probability · odds 1.53
Model BTTS 58% O2.5 59%
Odds Home 5.25 Draw 4.10 Away 1.53 BTTS 1.67 O2.5 1.57
Panathinaikos
v
Hradec Králové
Panathinaikos to win · 67% model probability · odds 1.38
Model BTTS 46% O2.5 52%
Odds Home 1.38 Draw 4.50 Away 7.00 BTTS 2.10 O2.5 1.80
Heart Of Midlothian
v
Rapid Vienna
Both teams to score · 58% model probability · odds 1.62
Model BTTS 58% O2.5 53%
Odds Home 2.25 Draw 3.50 Away 2.75 BTTS 1.62 O2.5 1.73
Rangers
v
FK Jablonec
Rangers to win · 68% model probability · odds 1.40
Model BTTS 47% O2.5 54%
Odds Home 1.40 Draw 4.33 Away 6.50 BTTS 2.00 O2.5 1.80
SC Braga
v
Austria Vienna
SC Braga to win · 51% model probability
Model BTTS 48% O2.5 45%
Dinamo Tirana
v
Pafos
Dinamo Tirana to win · 40% model probability
Model BTTS 51% O2.5 44%
Getafe
v
FK Partizan
Getafe to win · 73% model probability · odds 1.25
Model BTTS 36% O2.5 48%
Odds Home 1.25 Draw 5.25 Away 10.00 BTTS 2.75 O2.5 1.95
HNK Hajduk Split
v
Raków Częstochowa
Both teams to score · 66% model probability
Model BTTS 66% O2.5 65%
Shamrock Rovers
v
KuPS
Shamrock Rovers to win · 39% model probability
Model BTTS 47% O2.5 40%
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | WWWDD |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | WDDDW |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | WDLDW |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | DWLWL |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | LLDWW |
| 13 | Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | DLLWW |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 16 | HNK Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | DLWDD |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | LWWDD |
| 19 | FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 8 | LLWWD |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | DDLWD |
| 22 | Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | LWLDW |
| 23 | Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | DLWLL |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 25 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 7 | LWLDW |
| 27 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 28 | Legia Warszawa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 | WLWLL |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 | LWDLD |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | WLLDL |
| 32 | BK Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 | LDLLD |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 | DLLLL |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 | DLLLL |
The Conference League is UEFA's third competition and, for a bettor, its most interesting one. It has the widest quality spread of any European tournament — champions of small leagues meeting mid-table sides from big ones — and the least bookmaker attention of the three. Prices for a Thursday night tie between a Welsh champion and a Norwegian runner-up are set with a fraction of the care that goes into a Champions League line, and cross-league pricing is exactly where a results-based rating model earns its keep.
The competition's structure mirrors the Europa League: qualifying rounds through July and August, a 36-team league phase into December, then knockouts from February. For British and Irish audiences it matters more than its prestige suggests — clubs from England, Scotland, Wales and Ireland appear here every season, and the market for those ties is disproportionately active relative to the competition's profile.
Two structural features drive the betting. First, mismatches are everywhere: qualifying rounds routinely pair full-time and semi-professional squads, which pushes scoring high and makes goals markets the natural habitat. Second, motivation is unusually reliable — for most clubs in it, this is the biggest stage of their season, so the rotated-squad problem that plagues Europa League pricing is rarer here. The exception is the handful of big-league clubs parachuted in, who treat early rounds as pre-season; their short prices are among the most fadeable in European football.
The model rates every club from opposition-adjusted results, so a fixture between leagues that share no table is priced the same way as a domestic one. Early qualifying carries the usual seasonal caveat — clubs from summer leagues hold a genuine sharpness edge over opponents still in pre-season, and the ratings pick that up through results faster than the market does. Expect selections weighted toward goals lines and match results in mismatches, thinning as the field levels out in the league phase.
Every Conference League selection is archived at kickoff, settled at the odds available at publication, and published in full on the model results page.