Aveley
v
Cheshunt
Odds Home 1.55 Draw 4.33 Away 4.10 O2.5 1.57
FA Cup Predictions
This Week's Fixtures
Flackwell Heath
v
Hanwell Town
Odds Home 3.50 Draw 3.80 Away 1.75 O2.5 1.53
Ossett United
v
Pontefract Collieries
Odds Home 2.38 Draw 3.60 Away 2.38 O2.5 1.65
Quorn
v
Shepshed Dynamo
Three Bridges
v
Kingstonian
Odds Home 1.55 Draw 4.20 Away 4.33 O2.5 1.44
Curzon Ashton
v
Bradford (Park Avenue)
Burgess Hill Town
v
Jersey Bulls
North Ferriby
v
Barton Town Old Boys
Alfreton Town
v
Stratford Town
Ascot United
v
Pagham
Avro
v
Witton Albion
Baffins Milton Rovers
v
Slimbridge
Bamber Bridge
v
Trafford
Banbury United
v
Exmouth
Basingstoke Town
v
AFC Stoneham
Bath City
v
Weymouth
Belper Town
v
Evesham United
Biggleswade Town
v
Hitchin Town
Bishop's Cleeve
v
Poole Town
Bishop's Stortford
v
Berkhamsted
Bourne Town
v
Boldmere St. Michaels
Brantham Athletic
v
Waltham Abbey
Brixham
v
Dorchester Town
Broadfields United
v
Chichester City
Bromsgrove Sporting
v
Nuneaton Town
Bury
v
Wythenshawe Amateurs
Cambridge City
v
Maldon & Tiptree
Canvey Island
v
Newmarket
Chertsey Town
v
Carshalton Athletic
Chippenham Town
v
Havant & Wville
Cleethorpes Town
v
Newcastle Town
Concord Rangers
v
Brentwood Town
Coventry United
v
Bedworth United
Crowborough Athletic
v
Whyteleafe
Desborough Town
v
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Dulwich Hamlet
v
East Grinstead Town
AFC Dunstable
v
Woodford Town
Egham Town
v
Chatham Town
AFC Emley
v
Bishop Auckland
Falmouth Town
v
Frome Town
Faversham Town
v
Welling United
Frenford
v
Enfield Town
Garforth Town
v
United Of Manchester
Gloucester City
v
Mangotsfield United
Gosport Borough
v
Plymouth Parkway
Grays Athletic
v
Leiston
Halesowen Town
v
Basford United
Hanley Town
v
Abbey Hulton
Hanworth Villa
v
Whitstable Town
Harleston Town
v
Romford
Hayes & Yeading United
v
Camberley Town
Heaton Stannington
v
Knaresborough Town
Hendon
v
Hullbridge Sports
Holmesdale
v
Windsor
Lancaster City
v
Tadcaster Albion
Leamington
v
Ilkeston Town
Leatherhead
v
Croydon Athletic
Leighton Town
v
Gorleston
Lewes
v
Cray Wanderers
London Lions
v
Bury Town
Lower Breck
v
Thornaby
Lye Town
v
Racing Club Warwick
Malvern Town
v
Redditch United
Mulbarton Wanderers
v
Cornard United
Sileby Rangers
v
Anstey Nomads
Northwich Victoria
v
Atherton Collieries
Peterborough Sports
v
Ipswich Wanderers
AFC Portchester
v
Portland United
Prescot Cables
v
Horbury Town
Ramsgate
v
Bracknell Town
Real Bedford
v
Royston Town
Redcar Athletic
v
Stocksbridge Park Steels
Redhill
v
Sheppey United
Sherwood Colliery
v
Gainsborough Trinity
Shildon AFC
v
Warrington Town
Sholing
v
Andover New Street
Sittingbourne
v
Greenwich Borough
Southall
v
Cobham
South Liverpool
v
Prestwich Heys
Sporting Khalsa
v
Leek Town
Stafford Rangers
v
Northampton ON Chenecks
St Albans City
v
Hashtag United
Stamford
v
Mickleover Sports
Stanway Rovers
v
Needham Market
Stockton Town
v
Guiseley AFC
Stourbridge
v
Rushall Olympic
Tadley Calleva
v
Laverstock & Ford
Taunton Town
v
Millbrook
Thame United
v
Reading City
Uxbridge
v
Haywards Heath Town
Vauxhall Motors
v
Dunston UTS
Ware
v
Fakenham Town
Rylands
v
Hyde United
Wellingborough Town
v
Kettering Town
Wells City
v
Hungerford Town
Westfield (Surrey)
v
Dartford
Whitby Town
v
Ashton United
Whitehawk
v
Eastbourne Borough
Wimborne Town
v
Portishead Town
Wingate & Finchley
v
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
Winslow United
v
Swindon Supermarine
Witham Town
v
Stotfold
Workington
v
Marske United
Yaxley
v
Buckhurst Hill
Knowle
v
Worcester City
Redcar Town
v
Blyth Spartans
Betting the FA Cup in 2026/27
The FA Cup is the only competition we cover where a National League side can host a Premier League club in a match that counts, and that is precisely what makes it interesting to model — and treacherous to bet on instinct. Cup pricing forces the market to compare teams that share no league table, and the folklore around upsets pulls casual money in both directions: some backing every underdog for romance, others backing every favourite as a formality. Neither habit survives contact with the actual probabilities.
The real drivers of cup outcomes are less romantic. Team selection dominates: from the third round onward, Premier League and Championship clubs rotate heavily, and an under-strength eleven away at a committed League One side is a materially different proposition from the same fixture at full strength. Division gaps still matter enormously — the data is clear that two-division gaps are overcome far less often than the montages suggest — but one-division gaps with home advantage for the lower side are genuinely live. And with replays abolished, every tie resolves on the day, pushing extra time and penalties into the reckoning and adding real value to draw-adjacent markets in tight ties.
Our model rates every club in the divisions we track on the same opposition-adjusted scale, so a cross-division cup tie is priced no differently from a league fixture: goal expectancies for this eleven against that one, converted into probabilities for every market. Where it cannot see rotation before team sheets appear, it widens uncertainty on ties where rotation is historically likely — early rounds for top-flight clubs, especially those in European competition.
What to expect from our coverage
Cup rounds are bursts of fixtures rather than a weekly rhythm, so this page fills during round weekends and rests between them. Selections lean toward goals markets and handicap-adjacent value in mismatches, and toward the lower-division side's markets when home advantage and full-strength commitment meet a rotated favourite. Every pick is archived at kickoff, settled at publication odds, and recorded on the model results page.