FA Cup Predictions
This Week's Fixtures
Oxford City 
Leicester
Stafford Rangers
v
Grimsby
Accrington ST
v
Wycombe
Barnet
v
Tranmere
Boreham Wood
v
Wigan
Bradford
v
Marine
Bristol Rovers
v
Cambridge United
Bromley
v
Rotherham
Burton Albion
v
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Carlisle
v
Salford City
Cheltenham
v
FC Halifax Town
Crewe
v
AFC Wimbledon
Dover
v
Wealdstone
Eastleigh
v
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
v
Rochdale
Guiseley AFC
v
Sutton Utd
AFC Hornchurch
v
Blackpool
Huddersfield
v
Exeter City
Kidderminster Harriers
v
Doncaster
Leyton Orient
v
Harborough Town
Milton Keynes Dons
v
Swindon Town
Newport County
v
Walsall
Oxford United
v
Stevenage
Port Vale
v
Scunthorpe
Salisbury
v
Sholing
York
v
Northampton
Barnsley
v
Aldershot Town
Chesterfield
v
Yeovil Town
Colchester
v
Worcester City
Gillingham
v
Barrow
Harrogate Town
v
AFC Fylde
Luton
v
Forest Green
Mansfield Town
v
Macclesfield
Plymouth
v
Alvechurch
Altrincham
v
Notts County
Peterborough
v
Reading
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Betting the FA Cup in 2026/27
The FA Cup is the only competition we cover where a National League side can host a Premier League club in a match that counts, and that is precisely what makes it interesting to model — and treacherous to bet on instinct. Cup pricing forces the market to compare teams that share no league table, and the folklore around upsets pulls casual money in both directions: some backing every underdog for romance, others backing every favourite as a formality. Neither habit survives contact with the actual probabilities.
The real drivers of cup outcomes are less romantic. Team selection dominates: from the third round onward, Premier League and Championship clubs rotate heavily, and an under-strength eleven away at a committed League One side is a materially different proposition from the same fixture at full strength. Division gaps still matter enormously — the data is clear that two-division gaps are overcome far less often than the montages suggest — but one-division gaps with home advantage for the lower side are genuinely live. And with replays abolished, every tie resolves on the day, pushing extra time and penalties into the reckoning and adding real value to draw-adjacent markets in tight ties.
Our model rates every club in the divisions we track on the same opposition-adjusted scale, so a cross-division cup tie is priced no differently from a league fixture: goal expectancies for this eleven against that one, converted into probabilities for every market. Where it cannot see rotation before team sheets appear, it widens uncertainty on ties where rotation is historically likely — early rounds for top-flight clubs, especially those in European competition.
What to expect from our coverage
Cup rounds are bursts of fixtures rather than a weekly rhythm, so this page fills during round weekends and rests between them. Selections lean toward goals markets and handicap-adjacent value in mismatches, and toward the lower-division side's markets when home advantage and full-strength commitment meet a rotated favourite. Every pick is archived at kickoff, settled at publication odds, and recorded on the model results page.